Packers vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 17 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 28, 2020

david montgomery bears

With David Montgomery tearing it up, the Chicago Bears have their sights set on a playoff berth.

Green Bay
13-3
AT
January 03, 2021, 4:25 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
8-8
Pointspread -5 -115
Moneyline -237
Over / Under o +49

25%

Betting Action

75%

Pointspread +5 -105
Moneyline +197
Over / Under u +49

25%

Betting Action

75%

It’s a very meaningful Week 17 game for both the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears when they meet Sunday afternoon from the Windy City. The Packers opened as 4-point favourites on the NFL odds.

NFL Week 17 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Packers can clinch the NFC’s top seed with a victory here — only the top seed in each conference now gets a first-round bye.

Chicago, meanwhile, would earn a Wild-Card spot with a victory. If the Bears don’t make the playoffs, there probably will be major changes in the organization this offseason, from team president to general manager to head coach Matt Nagy to quarterback Mitchell Trubisky all being gone.

Green Bay has won eight of the past 10 in this series and covered in six. The Pack are on a three-game straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) winning streak vs. Chicago thanks to a 41-25 rout in Week 12. It wasn’t even that close as the score was 41-10 entering the fourth quarter. Aaron Rodgers, who pretty much always beats the Bears, threw for four TDs to four different receivers. Trubisky had three TDs throws, but they were basically in garbage time and he had three turnovers.

The favourite (usually Green Bay) is 14-6 ATS in the past 20 in the series.

Green Bay Packers

While Rodgers has played in four NFC title games in his career, he never has at home. That could change this winter with a win here to lock up home-field advantage in the NFC playoffs. Green Bay would also earn it with a loss as long as Seattle loses to San Francisco, which isn’t likely. While the Packers would lose a tiebreaker with the Seahawks, Green Bay would win one with just New Orleans.

Rodgers has now taken over as the NFL MVP betting favourite and it would be the first-ballot Hall of Famer’s third such time winning it. Rodgers was spectacular Sunday night in the snow at Lambeau Field in a 40-14 rout of Tennessee with four touchdown passes and just four incompletions. Rodgers leads the league with 44 TD passes (one shy of career high) and a rating of 119.4. Davante Adams caught three of those TD throws and could be in line for NFL Offensive Player of the Year as voters usually split that award with the MVP. Adams has a league-best 17 TD catches, one shy of a franchise record. Green Bay is 9-4 ATS in its past 13 vs. teams with a winning record.

Chicago Bears

Chicago will be a playoff team with a victory, either the No. 6 or No. 7 seed, which means a trip to a division champion next weekend. The only way the Bears miss the playoffs is if they lose and Arizona wins against the Rams (same kickoff time Sunday) – and the Cardinals might catch a huge break if injured L.A. starting QB Jared Goff can’t play due to a broken thumb.

Chicago won its third in a row on Sunday, 41-17 at tanking Jacksonville. Trubisky kept up his hot hand by throwing for 265 yards and two scores, although he did have a pick and probably should have had a couple more but for drops by the defence. David Montgomery has been tearing it up of late as well and rushed for 95 yards and a touchdown. The Bears have scored 30-plus points in four straight games for the first time since 1965. They are 3-7 ATS in their past 10 following an ATS win.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Packers vs. Bears?

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