NFL Week 14 Odds and Predictions: Best Picks Against the Spread

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 07, 2020

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Here’s a quick look at all the Week 14 matchups with Sports Interaction’s NFL odds. Games Sunday unless noted.

NFL Week 14 Point Spreads

The stretch run of the 2020 NFL season officially begins as every team has just four games remaining.

New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams, Thursday

The sixth and final Super Bowl that Tom Brady won with the Patriots was against the Rams in a dreadful SB LIII in Atlanta two seasons ago that New England won 13-3, the lowest-scoring Super Bowl ever. It’s fair to say there will not be a Patriots-Rams rematch this February in Tampa, although both could make the playoffs (L.A. almost surely will but work to be done for New England).

Point spread: Rams -6

Pick ATS: New England

Houston Texans at Chicago Bears

Both these teams choked away what looked like sure wins on Sunday. Bears fans still haven’t forgiven current general manager Ryan Pace for trading up one spot to No. 2 overall in the 2017 NFL Draft and take North Carolina QB Mitchell Trubisky over Clemson’s Deshaun Watson (whom most scouts preferred over even Patrick Mahomes). Of course, Houston traded up for Watson and him visiting Chicago will be a huge story there all week.

Point spread: Texans -2.5

Pick ATS: Houston

Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals

Two teams playing out the string with their starting quarterbacks out for the season. Short week for Dallas as it was in Baltimore on Tuesday to conclude Week 14, a game moved to that date by no fault of the Cowboys. The loser here is a big winner as it will have a much better chance of getting the No. 3 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft behind the Jets and Jaguars.

Point spread: Cowboys -3.5

Pick ATS: Cincinnati

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins

Potential AFC playoff preview as Kansas City will win the AFC West again and the Dolphins are in great position for a Wild-Card spot. The Chiefs won their seventh in a row Sunday, albeit not looking great in a 22-16 escape over visiting Denver. That clinched a playoff spot for Kansas City. Good-looking rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire didn’t play due to an illness, but it’s not COVID-19 apparently so he should be back here. Miami rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa returned from a one-game injury absence and led a 19-7 win over Cincinnati.

Point spread: Chiefs -7.5

Pick ATS: Miami

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

Potential NFC playoff preview. New York won its fourth straight game Sunday, a big upset at Seattle. The Giants control their destiny to capture the NFC East Division. Will starting QB Daniel Jones play here? He missed Sunday’s loss with a hamstring injury. Arizona is fading, losing a third in a row Sunday 38-28 vs. the Rams. Star Cards QB Kyler Murray is playing through a few injuries and hasn’t been the same lately.

Point spread: Cardinals -2.5

Pick ATS: New York (alternate line of +3)

Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Both these teams are fighting for NFC Wild-Card spots. Tampa Bay’s very late Week 13 bye might have been a good thing because the Bucs entered it on a two-game skid and with the defence having been shredded in each loss. Minnesota moved into the final Wild-Card spot in the NFC by winning for the fifth time in six games Sunday, 27-24 in OT over Jacksonville. Dan Bailey missed two extra points and a late field goal in regulation but made up for it with the winning kick in OT.

Point spread: Bucs -6.5

Pick ATS: Tampa Bay

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

Carolina is out of its bye week having lost six of seven and playing out the string, but the Panthers should have All-Pro running back Christian McCaffrey in the lineup for just the fourth game this season as he has battled injuries. Denver is also playing out the string and continues to struggle on offence under second-year QB Drew Lock.

Point spread: Panthers -4

Pick ATS: Carolina

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans go for the season sweep, edging the Jags 33-30 in Week 2. Stephen Gostkowski kicked the winning field goal from 49 yards out with less than two minutes left. Ryan Tannehill had four touchdown throws. Jacksonville enters on a franchise-record 11-game losing streak but has nearly pulled upsets the past two weeks. The Titans were shredded by Cleveland’s Baker Mayfield in the first half of Sunday’s 41-35 home loss as Derrick Henry was kept under wraps.

Point spread: Titans -7.5

Pick ATS: Jacksonville

Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders

Important game in the AFC playoff race. Both these teams got miracle wins Sunday. The Colts were about to give up a late game-winning touchdown to Houston, but Texans star QB Deshaun Watson fumbled and it was recovered by the Colts. The Raiders scored on a stunning 46-yard TD pass with five seconds left to avoid utter embarrassment at the winless Jets.

Point spread: Colts -3

Pick ATS: Las Vegas (alternate line of +3.5)

New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks

The winless Jets nearly ruined their long-term franchise future (i.e., not getting the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 draft) by upsetting the Raiders on Sunday yet somehow allowed the game-winning touchdown pass from 46 yards out with five seconds left. That was a 100 percent tank job. Seattle had easily its worst offensive game of the season in a 17-12 upset loss to the Giants. Russell Wilson’s turnover problems continued with a pick and lost fumble.

Point spread: Seahawks -13.5

Pick ATS: New York (alternate line of +14)

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

The Packers routed the Lions 42-21 in Week 2 behind 168 yards rushing and three total touchdowns from Aaron Jones. Detroit led 14-3 after the first quarter. The Pack could clinch the NFC North this week. They had no trouble Sunday in a 30-16 win over Philadelphia as Aaron Rodgers threw three more TD passes, two to Davante Adams, who is basically unstoppable right now. Detroit found itself down 10 with about three minutes left Sunday in Chicago yet won 34-30 thanks to a timely strip-sack.

Point spread: Packers -8

Pick ATS: Detroit

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles

Who starts at QB this week for sinking Philly? Embattled coach Doug Pederson finally pulled struggling Carson Wentz in the third quarter of Sunday’s loss in Green Bay for rookie second-round pick Jalen Hurts, who was better. It would be an upset if Hurts doesn’t get the call here. The Saints clinched a playoff spot and can wrap up the NFC South this week. They improved to 3-0 under backup QB Taysom Hill with Sunday’s victory in Atlanta. Drew Brees is not expected back for this one.

Point spread: Saints -7

Pick ATS: Philadelphia (alternate line of +7.5)

Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers

The Falcons already have fired their head coach this season and the Chargers are widely expected to follow suit as soon as it’s over. Especially after L.A. embarrassed itself in a 45-0 home loss to the Patriots on Sunday. The Chargers’ special teams had one of the worst games in league history. Atlanta’s very slim Wild-Card hopes vanished with a home loss to New Orleans.

Point spread: Falcons -2.5

Pick ATS: Los Angeles (+3 alternate line)

Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers

This game is in Arizona as the Niners are not allowed to play in California right now due to COVID-19 restrictions. It’s a short week for both clubs as both played Monday: The Niners vs. Buffalo in Arizona and Washington at unbeaten Pittsburgh.

Point spread: 49ers -4.5 (may change after Monday)

Pick ATS: San Francisco

Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills

Terrific Sunday night matchup and could be a preview of the AFC Championship Game – although we think the Chiefs will be one of the teams in that game. Both are on a short week as each played Monday night in Week 13 with Pittsburgh at home vs. Washington (a likely win) and Buffalo in San Francisco (could be a loss). The Steelers have a realistic shot at 16-0 if they win here (and presuming they did Monday).

Point spread: Steelers -2 (may change after Monday)

Pick ATS: Buffalo

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns, Monday

Baltimore on a short week, which is unusual to say for a Monday night matchup, but the Ravens had to finish off their COVID-19 rescheduling Tuesday vs. Dallas to conclude Week 13. It looked like it might be a long season for Cleveland when it was crushed 38-6 in Baltimore in Week 1. Lamar Jackson threw for three scores and JK Dobbins rushed for two in the Browns head coaching debut of Kevin Stefanski. Cleveland is rolling now, though, on a four-game winning streak after an impressive win at Tennessee on Sunday.

Point spread: TBA on Ravens game Tuesday