NFL Week 11 Odds and Predictions: Best Picks Against the Spread
On the bye are Miami, Seattle, Tampa Bay and Jacksonville. Here’s a quick look at all Week 11 games, played Sunday unless noted.
Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers, Thursday
Green Bay temporarily saved its season with a 31-28 OT win over Dallas on Sunday, rallying from down 14 points in the fourth quarter. Rookie wideout Christian Watson had a breakout game with 107 yards and three touchdowns. Fellow receiver Randall Cobb could be activated from injured reserve and play this week. The Titans got starting QB Ryan Tannehill back from a two-game injury absence and beat visiting Denver 17-10. Had had two TD passes.
Pick ATS: Green Bay (alternate line of -2.5)
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
This probably will be the most run-heavy game of the week. Chicago QB Justin Fields continued his ascension into a star in Sunday’s 31-30 loss to Detroit with 147 yards rushing and two scores and also threw for two TDs. He became the only quarterback in the Super Bowl era with multiple rushing touchdowns of 60-plus yards in the same season, and both came in the past two games. Atlanta lost 25-15 at Carolina on Thursday in Week 10. Marcus Mariota finished 19 of 30 for 186 yards and two touchdowns but was sacked five times and intercepted once.
Pick ATS: Atlanta (alternate line of -2.5)
Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills
Buffalo remains the Super Bowl 57 favourite despite losing a second straight game Sunday, 33-30 in OT at home to Minnesota, blowing a 27-10 lead. Former NFL MVP favourite Josh Allen had his third straight game with two interceptions. Cleveland came out of its bye and didn’t look very prepared in a 39-17 loss in Miami. Jacoby Brissett completed 22 of 35 passes for 212 yards and one touchdown against one of his former teams. He’ll be the starter for only two more games.
Pick ATS: Cleveland (alternate line of +10.5)
Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts shocked everyone when they hired ESPN analyst Jeff Saturday as their interim head coach last week, but he won his debut Sunday 25-20 in Las Vegas. Saturday went back to veteran Matt Ryan at QB, and he threw for 222 yards and a TD. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 147 yards and a TD. There will be no unbeaten team in the NFL this year as Philadelphia was stunned at home by Washington on Monday night, 32-21. The Eagles were down at halftime for the first time this year.
Pick ATS: Indianapolis
New York Jets at New England Patriots
Both teams come off bye weeks. New England beat the Jets for the 13th straight time in Week 8, 22-17. New York QB Zach Wilson threw for 355 yards and two scores but was picked off three times. Devin McCourty had two of those. The Pats’ Nick Folk kicked five field goals against his former team.
Pick ATS: New England (alternate line of -2.5)
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints
The Rams played without starting QB Matthew Stafford on Sunday as he was in concussion protocol and they lost 27-17 against Arizona to fall three games under .500 for the first time under Coach Sean McVay. To make matters worse, star wideout Cooper Kupp, the 2021 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, injured his ankle and will miss time. Saints coach Dennis Allen hinted he is ready to make a QB change from Andy Dalton back to Jameis Winston this week after the New Orleans offence struggled again Sunday in a 20-10 loss in Pittsburgh.
Pick ATS: New Orleans (alternate line of -2.5)
Detroit Lions at New York Giants
The Lions are on their first two-game winning streak of the season following a 31-30 win in Chicago on Sunday despite trailing by 14 in the fourth quarter. Jamaal Williams scored on a 1-yard run in the closing minutes. The Giants were 24-16 home winners over Houston as Saquon Barkley carried a career-high 35 times for 152 yards and scored a touchdown.
Pick ATS: New York (alternate line of -2.5)
Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore comes off its bye leading the AFC North by a game and on a three-game winning streak. Carolina was a 25-15 home winner over Atlanta on Thursday in Week 10. D’Onta Foreman carried 31 times for 130 yards and a touchdown. QB PJ Walker left injured and is out this week – Baker Mayfield will get the call.
Pick ATS: Carolina
Washington Commanders at Houston Texans
Washington ruined Philadelphia’s unbeaten season with a 32-21 win in Philly on Monday night. The Commanders’ good defence forced four turnovers, and that unit is expected to have 2020 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Chase Young this week for the first time this season off injury. Houston is pretty clearly the worst team in the league and struggled offensively again Sunday in a 24-16 loss at the Giants.
Pick ATS: Washington (alternate line of -2.5)
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos
The Raiders aren’t good but probably their best game of the season was Week 4 in a 32-23 win over Denver. Josh Jacobs ran for high 144 yards and two touchdowns, Amik Robertson returned a fumble 68 yards for a score. Russell Wilson threw for 237 yards and two scores and also rushed for one. The Broncos had only 299 yards and 12 first downs. Both teams lost rather ugly in Week 10.
Pick ATS: Denver
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings
The winner here could hold a potentially important playoff tiebreaker as both are surely going to make it. Dallas was upset 31-28 in OT in Green Bay on Sunday. The Cowboys had been 195-0 all-time when leading a game by 14 points in the fourth quarter but blew it. CeeDee Lamb finished with 11 catches for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Minnesota was down 27-10 in Buffalo but rallied for a wild 33-30 OT win in maybe the game of the year. Justin Jefferson had arguably the most incredible catch in league regular-season history and finished with 193 yards and a TD.
Pick ATS: Minnesota
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
This was to be the Sunday night game but was flexed out. Pittsburgh had no right winning in Cincinnati in Week 1 but usually reliable Bengals kicker Evan McPherson missed an extra point for the win in the final seconds and then a chip-shot field goal for the win in overtime. The Steelers came out of their bye on Sunday, welcomed back star linebacker TJ Watt from injury and knocked off the Saints 20-10. Cincinnati comes out of its bye.
Pick ATS: Pittsburgh
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers
This was flexed to the Sunday night game. These teams seem to always play close games and did in Week 2 with the Chiefs rallying for a 27-24 victory thanks in large part to a 99-yard interception return for a TD in the fourth quarter. The injury-ravaged Chargers played without both offensive tackles and starting wideouts in Sunday’s loss at San Francisco and then lost two defensive tackles to season-ending injuries. Kansas City beat Jacksonville 27-17 behind yet another monster game from Patrick Mahomes, now the clear MVP favourite.
Pick ATS: Kansas City
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals, Monday
Game is in Mexico City and first meeting of the year between the NFC West rivals. Not clear if Arizona will have starting QB Kyler Murray as he missed Sunday’s 27-17 win at the Rams with a hamstring injury – Colt McCoy would start again if Murray can’t. Pro Bowl tight end Zach Ertz suffered a season-ending knee injury. The Niners dominated defensively in the second half of a 22-16 comeback win against the Chargers. Arizona swept San Francisco last year.
Pick ATS: Arizona if Murray plays
