NFL Playoff Point Spreads: Best Picks Against the Spread

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 14, 2019


While Wild Card Weekend was full of upsets, the NFL’s Divisional Round went as oddsmakers expected with all four favourites winning. That gives us a chalk final four on conference championship Sunday.

2019 NFL Conference Championships

It’s the first time in the Super Bowl era that all four of the league’s top offences reached the conference title games. Here’s a quick look at the two matchups with Sports Interaction’s NFL Conference Championship odds.

NFC Championship – Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints

It’s the No. 2 and No. 3 offences in the NFL facing off. Los Angeles averaged 32.9 points during the season (Chiefs were No. 1 at 35.3) and the Saints 31.5. The Rams advanced with Saturday night’s 30-22 home win over the Dallas Cowboys. L.A. gouged one of the better run defences in the league for 273 yards on the ground. That allowed the Rams to dominate time of possession. It’s the Rams’ first NFC title game since the St. Louis Rams won it following the 2001 season.

There will be no repeat Super Bowl champion as the Philadelphia Eagles blew a 14-point early lead in New Orleans on Sunday and lost 20-14. It was the biggest comeback win in Saints postseason history and the biggest such loss in Eagles playoff annals. The Saints outgained the Eagles 420-250. New Orleans is in the NFC title game for the first time since the franchise won its only Super Bowl following the 2009 season. The Saints beat the visiting Rams in Week 9, 45-35. That ended up being the tiebreaker to be able to host this game. For a complete betting preview of the Rams vs Saints game, click here.

Point spread: Saints -3.5

Pick ATS: Los Angeles

AFC Championship – New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City snapped a six-game home playoff losing streak with Saturday’s 31-13 rout of Indianapolis to reach the AFC Championship Game for the first time since losing it on Jan. 23, 1994, in Buffalo. The Chiefs are looking for a third trip to the Super Bowl. The Patriots in the AFC title game is nothing new as it’s their 15th trip and eighth in a row. They beat the Jaguars last year, 24-20, in Foxboro.

New England beat visiting Kansas City in Week 6, 43-40, was one of the more entertaining games of the season. Stephen Gostkowski hit a 28-yard field goal as time expired. The Patriots led 24-9 at halftime. It’s the first playoff meeting between the franchises since the Divisional Round following the 2015 season, a 27-20 Patriots home victory.

This is only the second time this decade the Pats are playoff underdogs. For our full betting preview of the Patriots vs. Chiefs game, click here.

Point spread: Chiefs -3

Pick ATS: Kansas City