Lions vs. Saints Point Spread: NFL Week 13 Odds, Prediction

Edgar Chaput | Updated Nov 29, 2023

NFL: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions

The first weekend of December has games of great magnitude, such as the Detroit Lions’ visit to the New Orleans Saints for Week 13.

Detroit
12-5
AT
December 03, 2023, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Pointspread -3.5 -115
Moneyline -210
Over / Under o +48
Pointspread +3.5 -105
Moneyline +170
Over / Under u +48

Both sides hit a roadblock in Week 12. The Lions hosted their traditional Thanksgiving match against the hated Green Bay Packers and were stunned 29-22. As for New Orleans, they led the NFC South upon landing in Atlanta to play the Falcons, but the 24-15 defeat pushed them back into second place.

Despite the recent loss, Detroit is still seen as having momentum, hence their place as -4 favourites on the NFL odds.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Even though the Lions and Saints tussle in the NFC, they rarely draw swords. The last time was three years ago when the Louisiana outfit narrowly defanged the Lions 35-29. Before that was a ludicrous 52-38 win for the Saints in 2017. That was preceded by three consecutive Detroit wins from 2014 through 2016.

Kudos to the Lions for covering so many spreads this season. They have been favoured many times, which can spell doom for betters, but in this case, Detroit is a solid 7-4 ATS. It’s fair to point out that the Lions have not covered two games in a row, including a nervy win over the Bears two weeks ago. The Lions have been excellent on the road this season at 4-1, with their only loss being a blowout in Baltimore.

The Saints are about the last team to trust ATS. While fans really only care about outright wins and losses, the 2-8-1 tally against the spread speaks volumes about how disappointing the campaign has been. New Orleans gains a decent 347 yards per match, but only scores 20.8 points.  QB Derek Carr is in the mix as one of the better gunslingers with 2,535 yards thrown…or is he? Only 10 TDs puts him much further down the list.

Detroit Lions

Head coach Dan Campbell explained to the media after the Thanksgiving beatdown his team suffered that it’s not the time to press the panic button. The Lions are 8-3, have largely played good football this season, and lead the NFC North.

That doesn’t mean there aren’t lessons to be learned from what happened against the Packers on a national stage. Detroit was uncharacteristically sloppy in the 29-22 defeat, coughing up the ball three times. That’s going to handicap any team, regardless if the third down success rate is close to 50 per cent or if the offence generates 464 total yards. Those were first-half turnovers for that matter, which translated to a 23-6 halftime advantage favouring Green Bay. From point onward, the Lions had to play catchup against a rival that was feeling very good about itself. A chunk of Jared Goff’s 332 yards came when the side was down by multiple scores, including a 29-14 deficit late in the fourth. Jordan Love was comfortable, not sacked once and hit only four times. It was a mediocre performance from a team many hoped would rise to the occasion.

CB Emmanuel Moseley (knee) is on IR.

New Orleans Saints

It feels as though we’re often writing similar things about the 2023 New Orleans Saints. There are some very talented players on the roster, and occasionally the ensemble puts together a complete performance, but there are too many games like the 24-15 defeat to the Falcons.

How can a team march down the field to the tune of 444 yards, 22 first downs, win the time of possession battle, yet only kick five field goals? The first three of those stats will help win games. The last stat will help lose games. The Carr-led offence simply cannot finish the job (intercepted once in the red zone). His opposite number Desmond Ridder was picked off twice yet the Saints could not capitalize. WR Chris Olave is putting up nice stats this season and he caught seven balls for 114 yards and the rushing committee of Alvin Kamara, Lynn Bowden Jr. and Taysom Hill went for 148, but it still didn’t matter because they don’t score touchdowns.

WR Rasheed Shaheed (quad) is questionable.

Who Will Win Lions vs. Saints?

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