Jets vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Week 18 Odds, Prediction
Week 18 of the 2025 NFL season includes an AFC East showdown between the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills on Sunday afternoon in Buffalo.
There are little to no implications in this matchup. The Bills have clinched a playoff spot but will have to settle for a wild card, as New England has already clinched the division title. New York, of course, can only improve its draft position with another loss.
The Bills have won four games in a row in this head-to-head series and boast a 9-2 record against the Jets in the last 11 encounters dating back to 2020. Their first meeting this year resulted in a 30-10 road victory for Buffalo.
The Bills are 7-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with the total set at 38.5.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
New York is 0-4 against the spread in its last four contests and 0-4 ATS in the last four head-to-head matchups. Buffalo is 1-3 ATS in its last four overall and 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home. As for the Over/Under, the Over is 4-1 in the Jets’ last five outings and 3-1 in the Bills’ previous four. However, the Under is 6-2 in the past eight head-to-head tilts.
In addition to the more traditional lines, New York is +165 to score the game’s first touchdown; Buffalo is -220 to find the endzone first, while neither team to score a TD is on the board at +8000.
New York Jets
Head coach Aaron Glenn’s team was not exactly an offensive juggernaut even when Tyrod Taylor and Justin Fields were sharing quarterback duties. Still, things have been even worse with rookie QB Brady Cook under centre. Through the first four appearances of Cook’s professional career, the Jets have scored more than 10 points only once. They are averaging 11.5 points per game during this stretch. Cook has been horrendous, throwing just one touchdown pass compared to seven interceptions.
New York’s defence has not been any good, either, and it has gotten worse since CB Sauce Gardner and DT Quinnen Williams were shipped off before the trade deadline to Indianapolis and Dallas, respectively. The Jets have allowed at least 42 points in two of the past three games and have given up at least 29 in four consecutive contests.
Buffalo Bills
There is absolutely no reason for Buffalo to send QB Josh Allen out there this weekend. The Bills cannot do any better than the No. 5 seed in the AFC, and there really isn’t that much difference between the fifth, sixth, and seventh spots. Moreover, Allen was already dealing with a foot injury before Sunday’s 13-12 setback against Philadelphia, and he appeared to re-aggravate it during that game. Assuming they sit the reigning NFL MVP, Mitch Trubisky would get the start for the home side.
Allen may not be alone, either. Tight end Dalton Kincaid missed the Week 17 contest due to a knee injury, and several defensive starters are banged up. DT DaQuan Jones, LB Terrel Bernard, and S Jordan Poyer were all out this past Sunday.
NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Jets vs. Bills?
A relatively modest seven-point spread makes it clear that oddsmakers and bettors alike are almost certain that Allen won’t play. Such a short number provides value on Buffalo – even with Trubisky running the offense. The former No. 2 overall pick (2017) has plenty of starting experience in the NFL. Let’s go with Bills 27, Jets 13.
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