Jaguars vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 16 Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 17, 2019

julio jones atlanta falcons 2019

Julio Jones scored a couple of majors last week, including the winning touchdown as time expired. The Falcons have now won four of their last six.

AT
December 22, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
7-9
Pointspread +7.5 -115
Moneyline +275
Over / Under o +48

33%

Betting Action

67%

Pointspread -7.5 -105
Moneyline -334
Over / Under u +48

33%

Betting Action

67%

After going 1-7 to start the year, the Atlanta Falcons season ended before they even reached their bye week. However, the Falcons have responded with some fight ever since, winning four of six – including a surprising 29-22 victory over the San Francisco 49ers in Week 15. Now, the Falcons will look to continue to lay the foundation for future success when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday afternoon.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Jacksonville is 0-3 both straight up and against the spread (ATS) versus NFC opponents so far this season. They’ve failed to cover nine of 11 non-conference games. They’ve been solid on the road, though, as they are 3-4 as the visitor compared to 2-5 at home. They’re 5-3 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog of 3.5 to seven points.

Meanwhile, the Falcons are 5-9 SU and 6-8 ATS this season. However, Atlanta has looked much better the last two weeks with a pair of wins over the 49ers and Carolina Panthers in which they easily covered the spread. The Falcons are also looking for their first win over a non-conference opponent this season after starting 0-3 versus the AFC South. In fact, Matt Ryan and company are 0-13 ATS in their last 13 overall versus AFC opponents.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Nobody expected the Jaguars to rebound from four straight double-digit losses to shock the Oakland Raiders but they got up off the mat in that game. Rookie Gardner Minshew III led the comeback victory with two touchdown passes to Chris Conley in the final five minutes, showing the promise of a franchise quarterback. Minshew threw for 201 yards in the victory with most of it coming late while running back Leonard Fournette ran for 42 yards on 15 carries. If they are going to have any shot at building off that win, Jacksonville will need more from its offense on the road in Atlanta. This team seems to go as Fournette does but he’s surpassed the 50-yard mark just once in his last six games. They probably won’t win in Atlanta unless he gets closer to 100.

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta will certainly be trying to pick up from where it left off following emotional wins over Carolina and San Francisco. Matt Ryan was held to 210 yards against the 49ers, but he delivered in the clutch including a pair of touchdown passes to Julio Jones. The Falcons have shown flashes of the team most expected them to be this season of late. Now they will try to finish strong and lay the foundation for a bounce back next season.

The Falcons defense has been a big key in the team’s recent play. This unit is giving up just 19.2 points per game in their last six, which coincides with head coach Dan Quinn giving up the defensive play-calling. That average includes a 35-point letdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are red-hot right now, so that goes to show just how improved the Falcons defense has been in their other contests. They should be able to muzzle a Jaguars offense that’s been mostly pulse-less over the last month.

Who Will Win Jaguars vs. Falcons?

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