Jaguars vs. Chargers Point Spread: NFL Week 7 Odds, Prediction

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Oct 21, 2020

Justin Herbert, Chargers, 2020

In Week 5 against the Saints, Justin Herbert set a Monday Night Football record for rookie quarterbacks with four TD passes, while throwing for 264 yards.

AT
October 25, 2020, 4:25 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
Pointspread +8 -110
Moneyline +330
Over / Under o +49

25%

Betting Action

75%

Pointspread -8 -110
Moneyline -405
Over / Under u +49

25%

Betting Action

75%

The 1-5 Jaguars will be looking to end a five game losing streak when they head to Los Angeles on Sunday for a showdown with a 1-4 Chargers team that is fresh off a bye week.

This is an interesting matchup as both teams only have one win on the season, but the Chargers are heavy 7.5-point favourites.  The Chargers are 8-3 all time against the Jaguars, including 4-0 at home.  The total for Sunday’s game sits at 49.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The last time these teams met ended in a 35-point blowout road win for the Chargers in Week 14, last year.  It was a career-game for current Indianapolis Colts quarterback Philip Rivers as he passed for 314 yards and three TDs while posting the highest QB rating of his career, 154.4 in the Chargers 45-10 win.

Jacksonville comes into Sunday on a five-game losing streak and is 0-8 against the spread in their last eight games against the Chargers.  The Jaguars are also 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall, while the over is 4-0 in their last four games as a road underdog.

The under is 5-1 in the Chargers last six games after a bye week and 5-0 in their last five games as a home favourite.  L.A. is 1-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing record.

Jacksonville Jaguars

After losing their last five games, this season clearly hasn’t gone the way the Jaguars were hoping.  They come into Week 7 fresh off a 34-16 loss to the Detroit Lions in Week 6, a game in which Gardner Minshew threw for 243 yards with one TD and one interception.  Perhaps the only positive to take from the game was receiver Keelan Cole, who managed six catches for 143 yards, but he was essentially alone as the rest of the team combined for only 100 yards through the air.

Through the first six games of the season, the Jaguars offense seems to be relying totally on Minshew and rookie running back James Robinson.  Minshew’s 1,682 passing yards is the most of any Jacksonville quarterback through the first six games of a season.  Staying on that trend, Robinson’s 362 rushing yards is the most by an undrafted rookie running back since the NFL merger in 1970.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers should be rested after a Week 6 bye and last played in a 30-27 Week 5 overtime loss to the New Orleans Saints.  Since being thrust into the action in Week 2, rookie QB Justin Herbert looks like the quarterback of the future for the Chargers.  In Week 5 against the Saints, Herbert set a Monday Night Football record for rookie quarterbacks with four TD passes, while throwing for 264 yards.

Though it is a small sample size, Herbert has put up some big numbers under pressure.  When facing the blitz on third down, Herbert has a perfect passer rating of 158.3, the only quarterback other than Patrick Mahomes to rate above 150 this season.  Another bright spot on the season is defensive end Joey Bosa, who has four sacks on the year.  His 44 career sacks have the 25-year-old Bosa on pace to be the second youngest player to ever post 50 sacks in a career

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