Football Team vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Sep 28, 2021

Atlanta comes into Sunday's game against Washington as a rare 1.5-point home underdog.

October 03, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Pointspread -2 -117
Moneyline -132
Over / Under o +47.5


Betting Action


Pointspread +2 -103
Moneyline +110
Over / Under u +47.5


Betting Action


A pair of 1-2 teams clash on Sunday in Atlanta as the Falcons host the Washington Football Team.  Atlanta picked up their first win of the season on the road in New York last week, grinding out a 17-14 win over the Giants.  Washington, on the other hand, rolls into the ATL after a 43-21 pounding in Buffalo.

Washington is the surprising 1.5-point road favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 48.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

These teams don’t meet often, which is the reason why the point spread is the way it is.  Atlanta won the last regular season meeting, 38-14, in Washington in Week 9 of the 2018 season.  Matt Ryan had 350 passing yards with four touchdowns and an interception, for the Falcons.  Alex Smith threw for 306 yards with a touchdown and interception, for Washington.  It was the second-last full game Smith played before his nearly career-ending leg injury.

The Washington Football Team has lost six straight games against Atlanta, although they are 4-1 over their last five road games, dating back to last year.  They’ve been a terrible cover option, going 1-5 against the spread in their last six games and failing to cover in all three of their games in 2021.  Washington has hit the Over in four of their last five road games against Atlanta, as well as two of three games overall this season.

Dating back to last season, the Falcons have lost seven of their last eight games overall and seven of their last nine at home.  They’re 1-2 ATS this year and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Week 4 games.  Atlanta has hit the Over once in 2021, but the total has gone Under in seven of their last 10 games.

Washington Football Team

Despite being a 7-point underdog last week against Buffalo, Washington still couldn’t manage to cover in the 43-21 blowout loss.  It was never really close, as Washington quickly fell behind 21-0.  They did manage to cut the Bills’ lead to 21-14 at one point, before Buffalo added another 22 unanswered points.

Taylor Heinicke started at quarterback for the second straight game in place of the injured Ryan Fitzpatrick.  Heinicke was 14-for-24 with 212 passing yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions in his first career road start.  With Fitzpatrick expected to be out until sometime in November because of a hip injury, this is Heinicke’s team for the immediate future.

The big issue for Washington has been the failure of the defence.  After finishing No. 2 in the league last year, Washington’s defence has allowed 815 yards over the last two games, including 481 yards and a monstrous 29 first-downs to Buffalo.  Without their starting quarterback in the lineup, Washington needs to seriously lock down defensively.

Atlanta Falcons

It took a last-second 40-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo as time expired, but the Falcons still managed to pick up their first win of the season last week.  Ryan was 27-for-36, finishing with 243 passing yards and two touchdowns.  Cordarrelle Patterson led all receivers with a game-high 82 yards on six catches.  Mike Davis led the rushing attack with 50 yards on 12 carries.

Atlanta’s defence came up big last week, limiting the Giants to one offensive touchdown.  As far as injuries are concerned, defensive end Marlon Davidson left with an ankle injury and did not return against the Giants.  There’s been no update on his status for Sunday.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Football Team vs. Falcons?