MNF Falcons vs. Packers Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Oct 01, 2020

Falcons Packers

Back-to-back fourth-quarter meltdowns have Atlanta coach Dan Quinn on the hot seat as he leads his Falcons into Green Bay for a Monday Night Football game with the Packers.

October 05, 2020, 9:00 PM ET
Lambeau Field
Green Bay
Pointspread +5 -110
Moneyline +190
Over / Under o +56.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -5 -110
Moneyline -229
Over / Under u +56.5


Betting Action


The Falcons have blown fourth-quarter leads of 15 and 16 points the past two weeks, and could be one loss away from having a new head coach. The Packers have no such problems, having rolled to wins over Minnesota, Detroit and New Orleans.

Monday Night Football Week 4 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Packers are hefty home favourites, and it’s no secret as to why: They’ve averaged over 40 points through their first three games, while the woeful Falcons are allowing an average of 36 points per contest. And Sports Interaction bettors know what’s up: 79 percent of respondents are taking the home team to cover. The Packers have been kind to bettors in recent games, having gone 4-1 ATS in their previous five dating back to the tail end of last season.

The total for this potential Monday night shootout is one of the highest of the season to date at 56.5 – and that still isn’t high enough to deter Over bettors, who are flocking to this one at an 89-percent rate (mainly for the two reasons we outlined in the beginning of the first paragraph). Additionally, the Packers have converted the Over in each of their previous five games overall, while Atlanta is 6-1 O/U in its past seven contests.

Atlanta Falcons

Giving up the final 16 points of the game in Week 2 against the Dallas Cowboys was bad enough – but the Falcons did one better a week later, watching the Chicago Bears score 20 straight fourth-quarter points to become the first team in NFL history to blow fourth-quarter leads of 15+ points in back-to-back weeks. But a trip to Lambeau might be just what this team needs; it has gone 6-1 ATS in its last seven visits to Green Bay.

Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers has gone from a quarterback in the perceived twilight of his career to an early-season MVP candidate. The 36-year-old has thrown for 883 yards with nine TDs and zero interceptions, and has been blessed with an offensive line that has allowed just two sacks through three games. He last faced the Falcons in 2018, throwing for 196 yards and a pair of touchdowns to lead the Packers to a 34-20 victory.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Falcons vs. Packers?