The Dolphins return home on the heels of a 23-20 overtime loss in an ugly clash with the Jacksonville Jaguars last week in London that dumped them to 1-5 on the season. The Falcons enjoyed a bye last weekend after tallying a 27-20 win over the New York Jets that marks their second win in three games after suffering blowout losses in the first two games of the season.

The Falcons’ recent success has fueled support among sports bettors, and attracted 69% of bets on Sunday’s matchup at Hard Rock Stadium. Pegged as 3-point underdogs on the opening odds, the Falcons have since rocketed to 2.5-point road favourites. There has been far less movement on the total, which has dipped slightly to 47.5 since opening at 48.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Sunday’s matchup marks the first meeting between these two teams since 2017. The Dolphins have claimed victory in their past two clashes, both straight up and against the spread, and has earned the outright win in four of their past five home dates with Atlanta. Matchups between these two squads have traditionally low scoring, with total points scored topping 40 just once in their past five. That has extended a steady 7-2 run for the UNDER over their past nine tilts.

Atlanta Falcons

After suffering crushing losses to Philadelphia and Tampa Bay to open the season, the Falcons have enjoyed the benefit of a favourable stretch of schedule. The team escaped with their first win of the season in Week 3, a 17-14 victory over the offensively challenged New York Giants, and let a fourth-quarter lead slip away in a heartbreaking 34-30 loss to Washington before rebounding with their recent win over the Jets. Opportunity knocks once again as they take on the freefalling Dolphins. However, injuries remain a concern, particularly on defence. Both safety Jaylinn Hawkins and linebacker Dante Fowler remained out of practice this week.

Miami Dolphins

A clash with the long suffering Jacksonville Jaguars proved to be less than ideal for Tua Tagovailoa’s return to the helm. The Dolphins pivot was steady in his first outing since suffering fractured ribs in the team’s 35-0 loss to Buffalo in Week 2, going 33-for-47 for 329 passing yards and two scores. That marked his best performance since leading Miami to wins in his first four outings last season. However, his performance has been overshadowed by persistent trade rumours that have the potential to become a serious off-field distraction. In addition, Tagovailoa’s status remains uncertain after he was held out of practice on Wednesday. That adds to the injury woes currently surrounding the Dolphins’ receiving corps, with Will Fuller V still sidelined, and receivers Davante Parker and Preston Williams both listed as questionable for Sunday’s matchup.

Who Will Win Falcons vs. Dolphins?