Falcons vs. Chargers Point Spread: NFL Week 14 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Dec 10, 2020

Matt Jones and Julio Jones, Falcons, 2020

The Falcons are a sensational 7-2 against the spread in the last nine games on the road dating back to last season.

Atlanta
4-12
AT
December 13, 2020, 4:25 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
Pointspread +1 -111
Moneyline -104
Over / Under o +49.5

61%

Betting Action

39%

Pointspread -1 -109
Moneyline -116
Over / Under u +49.5

61%

Betting Action

39%

Neither the Atlanta Falcons nor the Los Angeles Chargers are playoff bound in 2020, but there are still plenty of intriguing storylines heading into their Week 14 matchup Sunday afternoon in California. The Falcons continue to see what they have in players like Brian Hill, Ito Smith, Olamide Zaccheus and Russell Gage, while the Chargers hope to get a major bounce-back from rookie QB Justin Herbert, who was humbled in last week’s loss to New England.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Falcons are surprising favourites despite a 4-8 SU record, though they’ve won both of their previous games against AFC opponents this season. Atlanta is a sensational 7-2 ATS in its last nine games away from Mercedes-Benz Stadium, and they’ve held their last eight opponents below 30 points. They also have the faith of the betting public going into this one, with 66 percent of Sports Interaction participants giving away the 2.5 points.

The Over/Under for Sunday’s matchup is just shy of 50 – and that’s far too low for the betting public, who are riding the Over at a whopping 91-percent clip. The trends, however, suggest that the Under could be the preferred play here. Atlanta has converted the Under in five of its last six games overall, with four of those games coming in at 45 or fewer points. And these teams have gone below the number in seven of their last eight meetings.

Atlanta Falcons

What will we see out of the Atlanta running game this week? Regular starter Todd Gurley is averaging a dreadful 2.6 yards per carry since Week 6; per ESPN, that ranks dead last among all players with at least 25 attempts in that span. And with both Gurley and Hill becoming free agents at the end of the season, we might see the backfield work split three ways – or even shaded toward Smith, who has 20 carries for 101 yards over the past two games.

Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert was flying high, establishing himself as one of the top rookie quarterbacks in the history of the league – and then he met Bill Belichick. The Patriots head coach has notoriously made life miserable for first-year QBs, and did exactly that to Herbert, holding the Oregon product to 209 passing yards on 53 attempts with zero TDs and two INTs. Herbert has completed fewer than half his attempts with one TD and three INTs over the past two games.

Who Will Win Falcons vs. Chargers?

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