Falcons vs. Buccaneers Point Spread: NFL Week 2 Odds, Prediction

Daniel Coyle | Updated Sep 16, 2021

The Bucs will try to open their regular season with back-to-back wins for just the second time since 2010 when they play host to the Falcons on Sunday as 12.5-point home favourites.

Atlanta
2-3
AT
September 19, 2021, 4:05 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
5-1
Pointspread +13 -110
Moneyline +550
Over / Under o +52.5

35%

Betting Action

65%

Pointspread -13 -110
Moneyline -706
Over / Under u +52.5

35%

Betting Action

65%

The defending Super Bowl champions managed to escape with a narrow 31-29 win over Dallas to open the season, and have now claimed outright victory in nine straight contests. The Falcons find themselves headed in the opposite direction entering Week 2 action. Atlanta is coming off an embarrassing 32-6 loss to the visiting Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 to drop to 1-7 straight up in their past eight contests, including four straight defeats on the road.

The point spread for this Week 2 divisional NFC South divisional matchup at Raymond James Stadium has steadily moved in Tampa Bay’s favour. The Bucs opened as 10.5-point chalk, and climbed to -13.5 before settling back to their current position at -12.5. The point total has remained stable, dipping slightly to 52 from its opening position at 52.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Losers in 14 of their previous 20 meetings with the Falcons, the Buccaneers have seized control in recent matchups with Atlanta, posting wins in three of their past four including a pair of victories in 2020. Tampa Bay has regularly run up the score of late when facing the Falcons, averaging 33 points per game over their past four matchups, capped by a crushing 44-27 victory as 7-point home chalk in Week 17 of last season. The Falcons have also found ways to score when facing the Buccaneers, averaging 28.7 points per game over their past six meetings, and fueling an epic 9-1 run for the OVER in totals betting when these teams meet.

Atlanta Falcons

Simply put, the Falcons have nowhere to go but up after last weekend’s debacle. Quarterback Matt Ryan did his best to give his team an early spark by engineering a pair of impressive drives, but Atlanta was forced to settle for field goals on each of those drives. The rest of the day belonged to the Eagles. Jalen Hurts was steady while powering the Philly offence to 434 total yards of offence, while the Eagles defence limited Atlanta to just 62 total yards after recess.

If things were not bad enough for the Falcons, they must now face Tom Brady, who has owned them throughout his career. Brady has connected on 19 total touchdowns while leading his team to nine career victories over the Falcons, capped by a 399-yard four-TD performance in the Buccaneers dominating win to close out last season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Any concerns about a Super Bowl hangover were quickly put to bed by the Buccaneers last weekend. While they struggled to maintain a lead against the fired-up Cowboys, it was business as usual late in the contest, with Brady orchestrating a 57-yard drive that resulted in a game-winning field goal with just over a minute remaining. Perhaps the biggest challenge for the Buccaneers will be avoiding looking past the woeful Falcons.

The Buccaneers face a tough schedule beyond Week 2, with upcoming road dates in Los Angeles and New England. However, with the team already firing on all cylinders, it is not a question of whether Tampa Bay will beat the Falcons, but by how much. Look for the Buccaneers to score early and enough, but not enough to pay out on the OVER.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Falcons vs. Buccaneers?

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