Eagles vs. Cowboys Point Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction
The Cowboys rolled to a decisive 33-16 win in Las Vegas earlier this week on Monday Night Football, halting a two-game slide, but have posted wins in just four of their past 16 contests on home turf. The Eagles strengthened their perch atop the NFC conference standings last week with a fourth straight win, a narrow 16-9 victory over the visiting Detroit Lions and can position themselves to clinch the NFC East crown as early as next weekend with a victory on Sunday.
The Eagles arrive in Dallas leading the way as 3-point favourites on the NFL Week 12 odds. The Cowboys sit off the pace as +145 underdogs on the NFL moneyline, and the total is listed at 47.5.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Eagles extended their recent dominance over Dallas with a third straight head-to-head victory in their first meeting of the current campaign, claiming a season-opening 24-20 win in Philadelphia. Overall, the Eagles have taken three straight and five of seven from the Cowboys including last season’s 34-6 road win that ended a six-game swoon in Dallas, and have averaged 33 points per game during that 3-0 run. The Eagles have also been reliable at the sportsbook overall, covering the spread in each of their four recent wins, and sport a solid 7-3 ATS record so far this season. However, the squad has needed stingy defence to eke out their past two victories, in which they scored just 26 total points but limited opponents to single-digit point totals.
Conversely, the Cowboys have regularly run up the score this season, with last week’s 33-16 win over the Raiders marking the fifth time this season they have topped 30 points, and extending a steady 6-1 run for the OVER in totals betting. However, the Cowboys have also been lit up with regularity by opponents, and rank 31st in the NFL with 29.3 points allowed per game overall, and 31.5 points per game while compiling a 2-1-1 home record.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles’ recent struggles to generate points has raised alarm bells in Philadelphia, with concerns focusing on the play of Jalen Hurts. Reports are suggesting that Hurts is feeling comfortable enough in his position leading the Eagles offence to play “his own game” in defiance of the team’s coaching stuff. That has translated into a decrease in pass attempts, with Hurts making just over 24 throws per game, and compiling a dismal 53.7% completion rate over the past two games, and the Eagles mustering 17 or fewer points in four of their past six outings. That could prove to be a dangerous game against a Cowboys squad that has struggled with consistency but still managed to score an average of 29.6 points per game. Eventually, the Hurts situation will come to a head, but in the meantime, sports bettors will want to face the Philly pivot on the NFL player props with value bets as a -105 wager to record UNDER 27.5 pass attempts and a -115 bet to compile UNDER 206.5 passing yards for the fourth time in as many games.
Dallas Cowboys
It has been feast or famine for the Cowboys, who have seen their past three wins come by an average margin of 18 points but have also seen three of their past four defeats come by double-digit margins. Not surprisingly, the squad’s success has hinged on the performance of Dak Prescott, who has seen 16 of his 21 TD passes come in the five games in which they have avoided defeat while tossing for one or fewer scores in four of their five losses including the Cowboys’ Week 1 loss in Philly.
With the team’s season pretty much on the line entering Week 12, expect Prescott to be in gunslinger mode on Sunday afternoon. Of course, that strategy comes with plenty of risk considering the eagles have surrendered just four TD passes in six games. Indeed, Prescott should be taken as a -150 bet to toss at least one INT, but in addition to backing the veteran passer as a -115 bet to record OVER 246.5 passing yards, Prescott is worth a -110 value bet to connect on OVER 1.5 TD passes.
PHI
DAL