Cowboys vs. Broncos Point Spread: NFL Week 8 Odds, Prediction
Dallas (3-3-1) arguably boasts the best offence in the entire league, while Denver (5-2) generally gets the job done with defence.
The Broncos lead the overall head-to-head series 9-5 and have dominated of late, winning seven in a row. Of course, there really isn’t much to take from those cross-conference results given that these two teams have faced each other just twice in the last decade and not once since 2021.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Cowboys are 3-1 ATS in their last four contests; the Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 games dating back to last season, but they are 3-1 ATS in the last four head-to-head. Over/under trends for this matchup are conflicting. The over has cashed in four straight for Dallas, but the under is 12-5 in Denver’s last 17 outings.
In addition to the more traditional NFL betting lines, the first-quarter spread is -0.5 in Denver’s favour and the first-half spread is -2.5. On the prop-betting front, Broncos running back J.K. Dobbins is -125 to score at least one touchdown. Javonte Williams (-120) has the best odds among Cowboys players to find the endzone.
Dallas Cowboys
No team in the entire NFL has a bigger discrepancy between its offence and its defence than Dallas. The Cowboys are No. 1 league wide in total offence, averaging 390.6 yards per game. Furthermore, they are second in scoring, putting up 31.7 points per contest. Unfortunately for owner Jerry Jones and everyone else involved, this team cannot stop anyone – which is why it is rumored to be involved in the trade sweepstakes for DE Maxx Crosby of the Las Vegas Raiders. Dallas is dead-last by a mile in total defence, giving up 401.6 yards per outing. It is third-to-last in the NFL in scoring defence by surrendering 29.4 points per game.
The Cowboys’ attack is even more dangerous now that QB Dak Prescott has his favourite target back. WR CeeDee Lamb, who missed three games with an ankle injury, returned last weekend and caught five of eight targets for 110 yards and a touchdown in a 44-22 rout of Washington.
Denver Broncos
Denver’s circus against the Giants last weekend is probably the wildest game of the year to date in the NFL, and certainly the most unbelievable comeback. The Broncos were getting shut-out through three quarters only to erupt for 33 points in the fourth and prevail 33-32 on a last-second field goal.
It is true that there was nothing impressive about the Broncos’ defensive performance in Week 7, but that was an aberration as opposed to the rule. That unit is third overall, fourth in scoring, seventh in passing and ninth in rushing. Cornerback Pat Surtain II covering either Lamb or George Pickens will be a crucial matchup on Sunday.
NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Cowboys vs. Broncos?
Given the futility of their defence, the Cowboys really have to score 30 points every time out in order to feel decent about their chances of winning. That is not going to be easy against arguably the best defence in the NFL – especially not on the road. Dallas is 1-3 on the road this season, while the Broncos are 3-0 in Denver. Let’s back Bo Nix and company to maintain momentum from their miracle comeback. Broncos 30, Cowboys 24.
DAL
DEN