As great as it is for Andrew Luck to be back under center in Indianapolis, the Colts saw first-hand that it will take a lot more than that to return to respectability. One week after a double-digit home loss to rival Cincinnati, the Colts face another stiff test as they take on Washington at FedEx Field. Sunday’s hosts had a much more effective season opener, cruising to a 24-6 triumph over the Cardinals in Arizona.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
This kind of spread used to give Washington fans and bettors ulcers. Between Dec. 29, 2002 and Nov. 16, 2014, Washington went an astonishing 2-14 ATS as home favourites of between 4-8 points, losing eight of those games straight-up. But the D.C. darlings have reversed that trend of late, going 3-1 ATS in their last four. The Colts have been strong on the opposite end of that spread, going 6-2 ATS in their last eight as underdogs of between 4-8 points.
From a totals perspective, September has seen an over boon for Indy, which has gone 5-1 O/U in its previous six road games in the month. Each of those over conversions have produced in excess of 50 points, and the Colts have surrendered 30 or more points four times over that stretch. Washington is riding a three-game under streak at home thanks in large part to a defence that has held foes to an average of 12 points per game during the run.
When the Colts play teams from the NFC East, you can expect plenty of fireworks. Indianapolis has gone a sizzling 8-1 O/U in its last nine games against the Cowboys, Giants, Eagles and Washington, with a 42-7 loss in Dallas (53 O/U) in its last game vs. the NFC East the only under result over that span. The winning team has scored no less than 30 points in each of their last five encounters, and 40 or more in each of the past three meetings.
As good as Washington can be at shutting down opposing teams, it has struggled mightily to do so in consecutive games. It comes into Week 2 having gone just 5-15-1 ATS in its past 21 when allowing 15 or fewer points in its previous game, and just 3-8 ATS in its past 11 following a successful cover last time out. Washington is also on a five-game under streak, which meshes well with a Colts team that has gone under in each of its past four road games.