Colts vs. Browns Point Spread: NFL Week 5 Odds, Prediction

Andy McNamara | Updated Oct 08, 2020

jonathan-taylor-colts

Two 3-1 AFC teams square off in a matchup that could end up having playoff wildcard implications.

AT
October 11, 2020, 4:25 PM ET
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland
11-5
Pointspread +1 -110
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +49.5

41%

Betting Action

59%

Pointspread -1 -110
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +49.5

41%

Betting Action

59%

Both the Browns and Colts are on three game winning streaks as this one gets featured on the Sunday afternoon 4:25 national television broadcast in the U.S. It’ll be an interesting battle between Indianapolis’ top defense and Cleveland’s league leading rushing attack.

NFL Week 5 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The series record between these two teams is tied up at 17-17. They last played against each other on September 24th of 2017, a game that the Colts won, 31-28.

In their last eight road contests playing a team with a winning home record the Colts are: 6-2 against the spread (ATS) and their Over/Under is 6-0 in favour of the under.

The Browns are 3-1-1 in their past five home games ATS. Picking the under is 5-0 when Cleveland faces a club with a winning record

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts defense has allowed the fewest average total yards through the first quarter of the season (236.3/game), but is this unit more of a paper tiger? Indy’s defeated lethargic offenses in the Vikings, Jets and Bears so this relentless Cleveland running attack will be a real test. Indianapolis also lists Pro Bowl linebacker Darius Leonard, Bobby Okereke, and cornerback T.J. Carrie as questionable on their injury report.

The offense is a little less impressive, sitting 21st overall (18th passing, 15th rushing). Rookie running back Jonathan Taylor’s proving to be the real deal, while quarterback Phil Rivers hasn’t thrown for more than one touchdown in a game yet.

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland is all about pounding the rock, and even without star running back Nick Chubb they are still in great shape. Former NFL rushing champ Kareem Hunt steps into the RB-1 role, while former fisherman D’Ernest Johnson just posted 95-rushing yards in last week’s victory over Dallas. As mentioned earlier, the Browns own a league best 204.5-rushing yards/game average, but also are ranked No. 1 in turnovers at six on the defensive side.

Baker Mayfield hasn’t been asked to throw that much through the 2020 quarter-mark, having tossed for over 200-yards only once. However, he does boast a 4-to-0 TD/INT ratio in his past two outings. I’d expect head coach Kevin Stefanski to continue his clock-eating run first offensive game plan this Sunday.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Colts vs. Browns?

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