Chiefs vs. Titans Point Spread: NFL Week 7 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Oct 21, 2021

The Tennessee Titans will look to extend their lead atop the AFC South standings when they host the surprisingly average Kansas City Chiefs Sunday afternoon.

AT
October 24, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
Nissan Stadium
Tennessee
12-5
Pointspread -4 -105
Moneyline -200
Over / Under o +59

48%

Betting Action

52%

Pointspread +4 -115
Moneyline +166
Over / Under u +59

48%

Betting Action

52%

Kansas City has been the surprise of the NFL this season and not in a good way.  Despite the Chiefs pulling out a 31-13 comeback victory in Washington last week, they have looked lost this year and sit at the bottom of the AFC West with a 3-3 record.  Tennessee is coming off huge 34-31 win over Buffalo last week, which took a last second stop on a quarterback sneak to pull off.

The Chiefs are 4.5-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 57.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Believe it or not, Tennessee is actually the team that has dominated this head-to-head series, winning four of the last five meetings.  That one win for Kansas City was the most important one though, as it came in the 2019 AFC Championship game en route to the Chiefs’ first Super Bowl win since 1969.

Kansas City has struggled this year, but they still come in with a 12-2 record over their last 14 road games, including a 2-1 road record in 2021.  They’ve been a brutal cover option, going 3-13-1 against the spread in their last 17 games and failing to cover in four of their last five against Tennessee.  Offence is still the Chiefs’ biggest strength.  The total has gone Over in four of Kansas City’s six games this year.

The Titans have looked strong since a season-opening loss to Arizona, winning four of their last five games.  They’re 4-2 ATS in 2021 and 6-2 ATS in their last eight October games.  The total has gone Over in four of Tennessee’s last five games overall and 12 of their last 18 at home.

Kansas City Chiefs

Turnovers have been a big issue for Kansas City early in the season.  Patrick Mahomes threw two interceptions last week and the team had three turnovers.  Mahomes’ eight INTs on the year is already more than he’s thrown in each of the last two seasons.  If that stat isn’t concerning, try this: Kansas City has committed an NFL-worst 14 turnovers in just six games.  Mahomes eventually settled into last week’s game, finishing 32-for-47 with 397 passing yards, two touchdowns and the two picks.  It was mainly the defence that bailed the Chiefs out last week.  Kansas City held Washington to 276 total yards of offence and 13 points.  It was the first time this season that the Chiefs held their opponent to under 29 points.

Tight end Jody Fortson is done for the year after tearing his Achilles in the third quarter against Washington.  Linebacker Anthony Hitchens will likely miss at least the Tennessee game after suffering nerve damage in his elbow, although there’s been no official update on his status.  Left guard Joe Thuney is expected to play his third straight game with a broken hand.

Tennessee Titans

There’s no question this Titans team lives and dies by Derrick Henry.  The running back was once again the star of the show against Buffalo, rushing for 143 yards and three touchdowns on 20 carries.  It was Henry’s fifth straight 100+ rushing yard game.  He now leads the NFL with 783 rushing yards and his 10 touchdowns are twice as much as the next closest player on the list.  Quarterback Ryan Tannehill also added a score on the ground.  In the air, Tannehill was 18-for-29, finishing with 216 passing yards and an interception.  Defensively, Harold Landry had two of Tennessee’s three sacks, while Kevin Byard intercepted a pass.

Last week’s win, unfortunately, came at a high cost for the Titans.  Left tackle Taylor Lewan was carted off the field after sustaining a concussion in a scary looking collision and there’s been no update on his status, although it seems very likely he won’t play this week.  Rookie cornerback Caleb Farley, Tennessee’s top draft pick, and receiver Cam Batson, are reportedly each out for the year with torn ACLs.  Receivers Julio Jones (hamstring) and Chris Jackson (foot) both left early against Buffalo, as did backup running back Jeremy McNichols (ankle).  There’s been no update on Jones, Jackson, or McNichols’ statuses for Sunday.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Chiefs vs. Titans?

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