Chiefs vs. Jaguars Point Spread: NFL Week 1 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Aug 31, 2019

The Chiefs are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven September games over the last two seasons. They open as 4-point favourutes.

September 08, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
TIAA Bank Field
Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -193
Over / Under o +49


Betting Action


Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +161
Over / Under u +49


Betting Action


The Kansas City Chiefs are hoping some significant offseason changes can help put them over the top as legitimate Super Bowl contenders in the AFC. For the Jacksonville Jaguars, it’s just about getting back to the postseason after a disappointing season. Week 1 will give us a clear direction of which direction both teams are heading.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Chiefs are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven September games over the last two seasons. However, Kansas City was 7-1 at home compared to just 5-3 on the road last season. The Chiefs will have something to prove as four-point favorites on the road in Jacksonville.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars are 4-1 against the spread in their last five September games. Jacksonville went 3-5 at home last season, which is a mark they will need to improve on significantly if they are going to have a shot at making the playoffs. The Jaguars are just 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine games versus AFC opponents.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs overhauled their defense following a disappointing AFC Championship game loss to the New England Patriots. Kansas City fired Bob Sutton and then hired Steve Spagnuolo as defensive coordinator, who wasted no time at all switching their base formation from a 3-4 to a 4-3. The Chiefs also brought in defensive ends Frank Clark and Emmanuel Ogbah, safety Tyrann Mathieu and cornerback Bashaud Breeland with the hope that they can solidify Spagnuolo’s defense. If they can improve on that side of the football, then Kansas City will be a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

MVP quarterback Patrick Mahomes is primed for another big year following his breakout season. While the focus has been on the defense, Mahomes will also get some new weapons including rookie second round pick Mecole Hardman, who is a burner at wide receiver. It will be very interesting to see how the Chiefs match up against what’s viewed as an elite defense in Jacksonville in Week 1.

Jacksonville Jaguars

If the Jaguars are going to succeed this year, it will have to be on the strength of a defense that was one of the best in the NFL two years ago. Jacksonville’s defense was solid last season but was hung out to dry by an offense that didn’t pull their weight. The hope is that things will change this time around.

The Jaguars hopes in 2019 are pinned on Nick Foles being a big improvement at quarterback. As long as he doesn’t make the back-breaking mistakes Blake Bortles did, this team will already be

improved. If he’s a quality starter and gives this offense a spark, the Jags could again be a top team in the AFC.

Jacksonville has a capable franchise running back in Leonard Fournette and some intriguing pieces at wide receiver in Dede Westbrook and Marqise Lee. It will be on Foles to bring them all together and elevate them to their potential this season.

While the Chiefs are clearly the better team on paper, it wouldn’t be shocking if the Jaguars hung around long enough to cover the spread as four-point underdogs at home in Week 1.

Who Will Win Chiefs vs. Jaguars?