Chiefs vs. Broncos Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction
Kansas City’s won the AFC West nine years in a row and it’s helped immensely in appearing in five Super Bowls over that period. Denver had won the division five straight years before this Chiefs run, and a Broncos win on Sunday would give them a huge edge in claiming it once again.
The 8-2 Broncos are on a seven-game win streak but have yet to face an opponent with a winning record since beating Philadelphia back in Week 5. Denver’s 1-2 this season versus opponents with winning records. The 5-4 Chiefs are certainty battled tested. Andy Reid’s club is coming off a bye week, so you know there’s also going to be extra prepared for Denver.
Kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High goes at 4:25 p.m. EST, with the Chiefs currently a four-point favourite on the road and -210 on the moneyline. The total is set at 44.5 on the NFL odds.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The 5-4 Chiefs, currently third in the AFC West, remain +500 favourites to win the Super Bowl. Denver is +1800 to win it all which is the 10th-best odds on the board. The Broncos are still +135 favourites to win the AFC West but the race is about as close as it can be as Kansas City’s odds are at +140. And without stating the obvious, the winner this Sunday should become a big favourite to clinch that all-important home playoff game.
Sunday’s the first of two regular season meetings between the Chiefs and Broncos, with the other on Christmas in Kansas City. The Chiefs are 17-2 in their last 19 meetings with Denver but have covered in only three of those 10 games. Denver is a perfect 5-0 on home field this season and have a 10-game home win streak dating back to last season, while the Chiefs are just 1-3 on the road outright and ATS this season.
Kansas City Chiefs
If these are truly the same old Chiefs, Sunday should be a major bounce back spot. Kansas City’s coming off a bye, and still in the middle of a gauntlet of a schedule. Last week’s loss to Buffalo was the Chiefs fourth game against a team with a winning record and that doesn’t include Baltimore and then Indianapolis next week. But these are the games we’re used to seeing Patrick Mahomes and company rise up to the occasion.
Mahomes’ offence will likely remain without running back Isiah Pacheco who missed Wednesday’s practice with a knee injury that’s kept him out since October 27. The Chiefs rushed for a total of 79 yards on 20 carries at Buffalo so the absence of Pacheco is certainly felt. Rashee Rice continues to produce on the receiving end though, leading the Chiefs with 80 yards at Buffalo. Rice has 20 catches for 215 yards in three games this season.
Denver Broncos
The Broncos better be telling themselves they’re just playing to the competition’s level because it’s been a rocky ride throughout the majority of this seven-game win streak. The run features wins of three or fewer points against both New York clubs, Houston, and now Las Vegas. For reference, those four teams are a combined 10-27 and we’re literally a bounce or two away from the Broncos going 0-4 against these teams.
The beauty of football is that on Sunday we’re truly going to find out what this Broncos team is made of and that seems to revolve all around quarterback Bo Nix. The sophomore pivot has passed for over 200 yards just twice in his last five outings and the Broncos passing offence is below average in most important categories – yards per game, completion percentage, etc.
Running back J.K Dobbins (foot) missed Wednesday’s practice, as did cornerback Pat Surtain (pec) and linebacker Alex Singleton (illness). Singleton was diagnosed with testicular cancer but is expected to recover and return to the lineup in a few weeks.
KC
DEN