Chiefs vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 16 Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 16, 2019

The last scheduled Sunday night game of the 2019 regular season is on tap this week as the Chiefs visit the Bears in a matchup of 2018 division winners.

AT
December 22, 2019, 8:20 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
8-8
Pointspread -7.5 +100
Moneyline -296
Over / Under o +45.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Pointspread +7.5 -120
Moneyline +244
Over / Under u +45.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Yes, this is technically the last “scheduled” Sunday night game of the regular season because the NFL doesn’t plan one ahead of time on the final Sunday of the season. The league wants to put the most important game in prime time – ideally a winner-take-all — for Week 17 and won’t decide that until after the Week 16 results. That said it’s possible this is the last Sunday night game regardless.

In 2017, the league opted not to shift one in Week 17 to prime time because one didn’t stand out enough. It is customary for the league to schedule games on the final Sunday that may impact each other from a playoff standpoint at the same time.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

One interesting story line in Chiefs-Bears is the 2017 NFL Draft. Bears GM Ryan Pace moved up from No. 3 overall to No. 2 to take North Carolina QB Mitchell Trubisky even though Trubisky started just one season in college. That was a huge mistake by Pace because he could have stayed at No. 3 and taken Texas Tech’s Patrick Mahomes, who had a much better and longer NCAA career than Trubisky. The Chiefs traded up to the No. 10 spot overall to take him, and Mahomes is already looking like an all-time great as the reigning NFL MVP.

Trubisky has been very inconsistent and wouldn’t even be a first-round pick today. There will no doubt be some Bears fans with signs in the stands on Sunday reminding Pace of his decision. Also, current Bears coach Matt Nagy is a former Chiefs offensive coordinator.

Chicago is 7-5 all-time vs. Kansas City, but the teams haven’t played since 2015. The under is 4-0 in the past four meetings.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City has clinched another AFC West title but is still playing for a possible first-round bye in the AFC playoffs. Even winning out might not be enough for one, however. The Chiefs’ defence isn’t all that good but was rather dominant Sunday in a 23-3 home win over Denver on a snowy day at Arrowhead Stadium. The Broncos were held to 251 yards. Mahomes threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns, both to Tyreek Hill. Mahomes now has 17 career games with at least 300 passing yards, tied with Kurt Warner for the second-most such games in a player’s first three seasons in league history. Andrew Luck holds the record with 19.

Tight end Travis Kelce caught 11 balls for 142 yards to become the first tight end in NFL history with four consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons. The Chiefs are 4-1 in their past five as betting favourites.

Chicago Bears

Defending NFC North champion Chicago was eliminated from playoff contention Sunday. The Bears had a three-game winning streak snapped in a 21-13 loss in Green Bay to be swept by their bitter rivals. Trubisky threw for 334 yards with a touchdown but put it up way too many times (53) and was picked off twice. Chicago has struggled to run the ball all season and averaged only 3.6 yards per carry. Nagy says the starters will play the final two games even though the team has been eliminated from the playoffs. The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games.

Who Will Win Chiefs vs. Bears?

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