Chargers vs. Texans Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Nik Kowalski | Updated Sep 27, 2022

Justin Herbert, Chargers, 2020

The Chargers continue their AFC South play when they travel to Houston Sunday for a clash with the winless Texans.

AT
October 02, 2022, 1:00 PM ET
NRG Stadium
Houston
1-10
Pointspread -5 -110
Moneyline -228
Over / Under o +44

65%

Betting Action

35%

Pointspread +5 -110
Moneyline +189
Over / Under u +44

65%

Betting Action

35%

Last weekend Los Angeles learned the hard way that you can’t take the AFC South lightly, as they fell at home 38-10 to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans were again on the wrong end of a defensive battle, losing 23-20 at Chicago. 

Both clubs are now off to quite disappointing starts. The Chargers now sit at 1-2 and are averaging under 20 points a game, albeit trotting out Justin Herbert at quarterback despite having broken rib cartilage. Houston’s 0-2-1 despite having a -10 point differential on the season, but also averaging only 16.3 points per game.

Kickoff at NRG Stadium starts at 1 p.m. EDT, with Los Angeles heading as a five-point favourite due to Herbert battling through his pain. The over-under is at 44.5 on the NFL odds.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Last season the Texans hosted the Chargers as the 13-point underdogs and proceeded to score 41 points and win outright by double digits. Winning the turnover battle 3-0 and rushing for 189 yards helped the Texans mightily, but the ground game may not be on display this time around. Both clubs are in the bottom six in rushing, with Los Angeles dead last at 59 yards per game.

Houston’s yet to lose against the spread in 2022, which is a consolation to having zero outright victories. L.A.’s covered in two of their three outings this season, and in six of their last eight meetings with the Texans.

Los Angeles Chargers

It seems like Herbert is calling the shots as to determining his game status, which means a hurt Justin Herbert should be under centre again in Week 4. The Chargers fell behind early last week, forcing Herbert to throw 45 times and L.A. to rush the ball a total of 12 times for 26 yards. Austin Ekeler only had four carries for five yards, which was a confounding strategy. 

More importantly, Los Angeles’ injury list keeps growing. They lost left tackle Rashawn Slater for the remainder of the 2022 season with a bicep injury. Defensive end Joey Bosa left with a groin injury and is week-to-week. Receiver Jalen Guyton also suffered a torn ACL. On the bright side, receiver Keenan Allen and centre Corey Linsley are hopeful to return to practice this week.

Houston Texans

The Texans surrendered over 20 points for the first time this season last Sunday; the problem is they still haven’t registered over 20 in a game. A late Davis Mills interception led to a walk off field goal for Chicago, and an underwhelming day for Mills who threw for 245 yards to go with one touchdown and two interceptions. Rookie Dameon Pierce recorded a career-high 80 rushing yards and scored his first NFL touchdown in the loss.

Houston’s defence did a great job versus the pass at Chicago, allowing 82 yards through the air and recording five sacks. 34-year-old free agent signing Jerry Hughes leads the club with four sacks, while 2022 third-overall pick Derek Stingley has 14 tackles, a sack, and three pass deflections from his cornerback position. 

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Chargers vs. Texans?

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