Buccaneers vs. Giants Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Nov 13, 2018

eli manning

The Giants are coming off their first win in six weeks, so Eli Manning and company finally have something good they can build on as they remain focused on winning one game at a time.

Tampa Bay
November 18, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
Pointspread +3 +100
Moneyline +130
Over / Under o +54


Betting Action


Pointspread -3 -120
Moneyline -150
Over / Under u +54


Betting Action


The Giants will return home to host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a battle of teams that are closer to the first-overall pick in next year’s NFL Draft than a playoff spot heading in to Week 11. For as much as both teams want to win now as they use the rest of the season to generate some positive momentum and build for the future, the reality is that both teams are probably better off tanking right now. That won’t be the case though as Tampa Bay and New York battle for a win this Sunday. Here is a closer look at the matchup.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Buccaneers are just 1-6 both straight up and against the spread in their last seven games. After a surprising 2-0 start, Tampa Bay is just 3-6 heading in to Week 11. The Buccaneers have been particularly bad on the road dating back the past couple of seasons with a 2-13 straight up record in their last 15 road games overall.

The Giants don’t look much better even after last week’s win over San Francisco. New York is 5-16 straight up in its last 21 games dating back to last season. The Giants are also just 2-10 in their past 12 home games over that span, including a 3-9 ATS record in those contests. New York is currently listed as a one-point favorite at home.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

There aren’t many positives that Tampa Bay can carry over from the last three weeks. The Buccaneers are 0-3 over that span. They have been outscored by an average of 13.5 points in their last two losses to the Carolina Panthers and Washington Redskins. Last week, Tampa Bay became the first team in NFL history to record 450 yards of total offence and still finish the game with three points or fewer. It won’t get much easier for Ryan Fitzpatrick and company this week against a Giants defence that has allowed an average of 22.0 points per game over its last three games.

The Buccaneers defence has been an absolute mess. Tampa Bay ranks 32nd in the NFL with an average of 32.3 points allowed per game this season. The fact that the Bucs can neither score or stop their opponents from scoring is definitely not a winning formula.

New York Giants

Despite all of the inconsistencies on offence, the New York defence has done a pretty good job lately. The Giants still rank 20th in the NFL this season with an average of 25.3 points allowed per game and they have cut that number down to 22.0 points allowed per game over the last three weeks. The key is consistency on the other side of the football as the New York offence ranks 26th in the league with an average of 19.7 points per game this season. Eli Manning is coming off a strong performance in which he threw three touchdowns without an interception against the 49ers. As long as he doesn’t turn over the football, it could go a long way towards the Giants being more competitive down the stretch.

Rookie running back Saquon Barkley managed 67 rushing yards on 20 carries in the win over San Francisco. New York needs Barkley to perform at a high level in order to take the pressure off of Manning and the passing game. Barkley should be able to find some running room this week against a Tampa Bay defence that has been torched both on the ground and through the air this season. As long as they don’t turn the football over, the Giants should be able to figure out how to pull out a close victory at home.

Buccaneers vs. Giants Prediction