Browns vs. Titans Point Spread: NFL Week 13 Odds, Prediction

Andy McNamara | Updated Dec 02, 2020

derrick henry titans

This Week 13 matchup is setting up to be a heavyweight slugfest between two of the NFL’s best power running backs.

Cleveland
11-5
AT
December 06, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Nissan Stadium
Tennessee
11-5
Pointspread +4 -115
Moneyline +185
Over / Under o +54

27%

Betting Action

73%

Pointspread -4 -105
Moneyline -222
Over / Under u +54

27%

Betting Action

73%

Both team offenses are built similarly around a smash mouth rushing attack that then leads to passing success off of play action. This is also a key potential AFC playoff tiebreaker seeding showdown.

NFL Week 13 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Browns lead the all-time series 35-32, but when they previously met in September of 2019 it was Tennessee that came out on top 43-13 in Cleveland. The Titans are 6.0-point favourites and the Over/Under is set at 54.0 from Nissan Stadium in Nashville.

The Browns are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their past five games as a road underdog. It’s also worth noting that the Under is 6-1 versus an opponent with a winning record.

Most recently the Titans are 2-5 ATS as a favourite and the Over is 5-1-1 when playing at home.

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland is riding a three game winning streak as they get ready to face their toughest opposition since the Steelers in Week 6. They’ll be getting stud pass-rusher Myles Garrett and fullback Andy Janovich back from the COVID-19/Reserve list, however, will still be without Pro Bowl cornerback Denzel Ward and their best safety Ronnie Harrison.

Even after missing four games from a knee sprain, Nick Chubb is sixth in the league for total rushing yards and leads all RBs in average yards-per-carry at 6.3. That’s helped catapult the Browns back to first place in rushing yards per game with 161.4. How Baker Mayfield performs will be interesting since he tossed a pair of touchdowns in Jacksonville last Sunday for 258-yards and hasn’t thrown an interception since Oct. 25. There were still some accuracy issues in the victory that if committed in Nashville would likely become turnovers. The good news for Mayfield is that he should be able to operate from a clean pocket as the Titans have the fourth fewest sacks (14).

Tennessee Titans

The Browns may be No. 1 on the ground, but Tennessee isn’t far behind in third and possess arguably the NFL’s most physical running back in Derrick Henry. The reigning rushing champion is already at 1,257 yards and 12-touchdowns. Henry gets all the accolades, but Ryan Tannehill has quietly amassed an incredible 45-to-9 TD/INT ratio since taking over starting QB duties in Week 3 of 2019. Cleveland’s banged up secondary will need to keep a close eye on playmaking wide receivers AJ Brown and Corey Davis.

It’s surprising that a defensive minded head coach like Mike Vrabel has a ‘D’ ranked 25th overall. They’ve yielded 30 or more points on five occasions this season and are the worse third down unit, allowing first down conversions 52.6% of the time.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Browns vs. Titans?

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