Browns vs. Packers Point Spread: NFL Week 16 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Dec 23, 2021

After clinching the NFC North last week, the Green Bay Packers now have their eyes set on the top seed in the conference.

Cleveland
8-9
AT
December 25, 2021, 4:30 PM ET
Lambeau Field
Green Bay
13-4
Pointspread +8 -110
Moneyline +375
Over / Under o +46.5

23%

Betting Action

77%

Pointspread -8 -110
Moneyline -500
Over / Under u +46.5

23%

Betting Action

77%

It’s a quick turnaround for the Cleveland Browns as they’re headed to Lambeau Field to face the Packers on Saturday, just four days after dropping a 16-14 decision to the Raiders on a last-second field goal.  The Packers, on the other hand, became the first team this season to clinch a division title, downing the Ravens 31-30 in Baltimore last week.  Green Bay has now won the NFC North three straight seasons.

The Packers are 8-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 45.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

There’s not much history between these teams as they’ve only met in the regular season three times since 2009.  It’s worth noting that Green Bay did win all three of those games.  Sports Interaction bettors aren’t taking any chances on Saturday’s matchup.  About 84 per cent of action is taking the Packers and 82 per cent of bettors taking the Over.

Cleveland’s loss last week was devastating to their playoff hopes and they’ll essentially need to win-out to have a shot at the postseason.  That doesn’t bode well for a team that has dropped five of their last seven road contests.  They’re 6-8 against the spread for the season, covering in half of their six road tilts.  The total has gone Under in four of the Browns’ last five games against NFC North opponents.

The Packers have been perfect at home this season, going 6-0 at Lambeau.  They covered in all six of those games and have gone 11-3 ATS overall.  Green Bay clearly knows how to put points on the board as they’ve hit the Over in four of their last five games.

Cleveland Browns

It was an absolutely crushing loss for Cleveland last week.  Instead of jumping to the top of the AFC North with a win, their last-second loss puts them last in the tightly contested division.  It was actually a fairly impressive performance to even stay in the game as the Browns were without 22 players and three coaches because of COVID protocols, including quarterback Baker Mayfield, top receiver Jarvis Landry, pass rusher Jadeveon Clowney and head coach Kevin Stefanski.  Nick Mullens, Cleveland’s third-string QB, completed 20 of 30 pass attempts, finishing with 147 passing yards and a touchdown.

Stefanski cleared protocols on Wednesday.  Although Mayfield is still on the COVID list, he’s expected to be cleared before Saturday and get the start.  There’s no official word on exactly how many players will clear COVID protocols in time to play this week, so it’s a situation worth monitoring over the next couple of days.

Green Bay Packers

Despite clinching the NFC North, the work is not completed for Green Bay as they hold just a one-game lead over Tampa Bay, Arizona and Dallas for top seed in the NFC, which would guarantee them home field advantage in the playoffs and a valuable first-round bye.  Quarterback Aaron Rodgers already looks like he’s in playoff mode, helping the Packers offence score at least 31 points in each of their last three games.  Rodgers threw for 268 yards and three touchdowns last week, tying Brett Favre’s franchise record for career touchdowns.  The future Hall of Famer has thrown 13 touchdowns and no interceptions over his last four games and he is now a +155 favourite to win a second straight MVP.  The main injury concern for the team is Rodgers’ toe, although he’s shown he can clearly play through the pain.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Browns vs. Packers?

SportsInteraction