Browns vs. Jets Point Spread: NFL Week 16 Odds, Prediction

Andy McNamara | Updated Dec 24, 2020

nick chubb browns

This Sunday afternoon showdown is extremely important to both these teams, but for completely different reasons.

Cleveland
11-5
AT
December 27, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
N.Y. Jets
2-14
Pointspread -7 -110
Moneyline -307
Over / Under o +45

76%

Betting Action

24%

Pointspread +7 -110
Moneyline +253
Over / Under u +45

76%

Betting Action

24%

A win makes a wild card berth almost a certainty for the Browns, and also keeps the hope alive to finish atop the AFC North. On the other side, a victory by the Jets would be viewed as a negative by the franchise’s front office and the fanbase. New York snapping its 13-game losing streak last week sunk them into the No. 2 position for next year’s NFL Draft.

NFL Week 16 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

At the last meeting, Cleveland took a dominant victory 23-3 at New York in September 2019, and lead the all-time series 15-12. The Browns are 9.5-point favourites and the Over/Under is set at 47.5.

New York’s 9-3-1 ATS in their past 13-home games against opponents with a winning road record. Betting the Under in O/U has been the best play recently as the Jets are 8-3 as an underdog in that department.

Cleveland Browns

The Browns offense is red hot as Baker Mayfield’s chucked 10-touchdowns to just one interception since Nov. 29. Much of Mayfield’s success comes from play action and that’s only effective because of the club’s tremendous ground attack.

Despite missing five contests from a knee sprain, Nick Chubb is fifth in the NFL for rushing yards and the team is third overall for yards-per-game when handing off. The offensive line is obviously key to these accolades and Cleveland will be down at least one, and possibly two starters. Right guard Wyatt Teller and backup Chris Hubbard are both hobbled, which gives rookie Nick Harris the greenlight. On Friday, first year left tackle Jedrick Wills was placed on the COVID/Reserve list as a close contact case, and his availability won’t be known until Sunday morning. If these problems had to occur for the Browns it’s better happening versus New York’s fourth worst defense.

New York Jets

Since the Jets avoided joining the infamous 0-16 club, there’s not much left for them to play for. “Gang Green” lost their one star on the defensive line as sophomore DT Quinnen Williams was placed on I.R. That takes any teeth out of the unit’s limited pass rush, and should leave Baker Mayfield relatively safe in the pocket.

There’s also not much to get excited about on the other side of the ball. Under Adam Gase’s tutelage the Jets are ranked dead last in total offensive yards (23rd rushing, 32nd passing). Sam Darnold’s third season’s been interrupted again due to injuries, and he often tries to force the ball to the few weapons he has. The feel good story is 37-year old RB Frank Gore still contributing, albeit at a yards-per-carry rate of less than three-yards during his past trio of outings.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Browns vs. Jets?

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