Browns vs. Cowboys Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Andy McNamara | Updated Oct 01, 2020

kareem hunt

Despite a loaded offense the Cowboys are under .500, while the Cleveland Browns roll into Dallas on a two game winning streak.

Cleveland
11-5
AT
October 04, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
Dallas
6-10
Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +150
Over / Under o +56.5

24%

Betting Action

76%

Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -180
Over / Under u +56.5

24%

Betting Action

76%

This matchup will be a fascinating contrast in style as Cleveland tries to ground and pound with their two elite running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. On the other side, the Cowboys top ranked passing attack looks to score early and often.

NFL Week 4 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Over/Under is 5-1 in favour of the over the last six times the Browns have been on the road versus a team with a losing record. Cleveland is 0-7 in their past seven games against the spread (ATS) as visitors.

The over is 4-0 following a straight up Cowboys loss. In their last fifteen matchups, Dallas is 4-9 at home ATS when facing an opponent with a winning record.

The last meeting between these two teams was on November 16th, 2016, in Texas. The Cowboys won at home 35-10.

Cleveland Browns

Baker Mayfield returns to his home state of Texas in transition as a pro quarterback. Learning his third different offense in as many years, Mayfield is shifting into a game manager role from his gunslinger reputation in college. It makes sense with the Browns averaging the third best rushing yards per game at 170.3.

Using the run for clock control to keep Dak Prescott off the field as much as possible is crucial to avoid a shootout. Cleveland’s secondary and linebackers are dealing with several injuries so despite head coach Kevin Stefanski’s best intentions, Mayfield may be forced to chuck it up. It might not be the worst thing since the Cowboys defense currently sits 26th in the NFL.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys electric offense has been as advertised with the club leading the league on a per-game basis in total yards (490.7) and passing yards (383.3). What makes those stats even more impressive is that they are battling injuries and offseason departures to the once vaunted offensive line.

As mentioned above, Dallas’ defensive struggles are a large part as to why they sit at 1-2. The ‘boys have allowed the seventh most yards/game, but a bright spot comes in Aldon Smith sitting No. 1 in the league for sacks (4.0). What’s incredible about this story is that Smith returned to the NFL this season after a five-year hiatus where he dealt with a variety of substance abuse and personal conduct issues. Browns rookie left tackle Jedrick Wills Jr. will have his hands full.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Browns vs. Cowboys?

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