Broncos vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Week 9 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 02, 2020

julio jones falcons

The Atlanta Falcons will be on a bit of extra rest on Sunday when they host the Denver Broncos for the first time since 2012.

Denver
5-11
AT
November 08, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
4-12
Pointspread +4.5 -110
Moneyline +181
Over / Under o +50

37%

Betting Action

63%

Pointspread -4.5 -110
Moneyline -218
Over / Under u +50

37%

Betting Action

63%

The Falcons opened as 4-point favourites with a total of 50.

NFL Week 9 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

These franchises will always be linked by Super Bowl XXXIII on January 31, 1999 in Miami. The Broncos won 34-19 in what would be the final game of legendary Denver quarterback John Elway’s career. Elway is now running the show with the Broncos.

Both franchises are a long way from playing in another Super Bowl and in rebuilding mode with quarterback questions. Atlanta’s Matt Ryan is a former league MVP but could be traded this offseason if the Falcons land a pick high enough in the 2021 draft to select a top QB prospect. Second-year Drew Lock still hasn’t shown if he’s the long-term answer with the Broncos, who have been looking for a QB ever since Peyton Manning retired.

Atlanta has won and covered the past two regular-season meetings in the series. In 2016 in the Mile High City, the Falcons prevailed 23-16. Ryan threw for 267 yards and a touchdown. That Atlanta team was very good and reached the Super Bowl, blowing a 28-3 late-third quarter lead and losing in overtime to New England. Denver’s QB that day was the eminently forgettable Paxton Lynch. The 2016 first-round bust is out of the NFL now.

Rather amazingly, the Falcons are just 1-14 against the spread in their past 15 vs. the AFC.

Denver Broncos

Denver got one of the more unlikely wins in franchise history Sunday, 31-30 over the visiting Chargers. The Broncos were down 24-3 more than midway through the third quarter but won it on a Lock to KJ Hamler 1-yard TD pass (the rookie Hamler’s first career TD catch) with no time remaining and then the PAT. Lock had one of the better games of his young career with 248 yards and three scores. Well, check that. He was awful for three quarters but 14 of 18 for 155 yards and three TDs in fourth quarter alone.

The Broncos were without receiver Tim Patrick (hamstring) and defensive coordinator Ed Donatell (COVID-19). Cornerback AJ Bouye and tight end Nick Vannett both left with injuries.

Atlanta Falcons

We projected the Falcons to cover at +2.5 last Thursday at Carolina, and Atlanta did better than that by winning outright 25-17 to improve to 2-1 under interim head coach Raheem Morris – who is making a claim to earn the full-time job. Ryan threw for 281 yards with a pick and had a fairly rare rushing score. Julio Jones caught seven passes for 137 yards. It was Jones’ 58th career 100-yard receiving game, most in the NFL since his debut in 2011. He is one game shy of tying Marvin Harrison for third-most in NFL history.

Injury-wise, the Falcons lost starting receiver Calvin Ridley (ankle) and cornerback Kendall Sheffield (possible concussion) in the game. Too early to tell on their status for Week 9. Ridley is having a monster season with 43 catches for 657 yards and six touchdowns, but he seems unlikely for this one.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Broncos vs. Falcons?

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