Bills vs. Steelers Point Spread: NFL Week 15 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 10, 2019

Bills vs. Steelers, 2019

The Bills and Steelers virtually mirror each other. Both have good defenses and suspect offenses. These two team also occupy the two wild card spots in the AFC.

Buffalo
10-6
AT
December 15, 2019, 8:20 PM ET
Heinz Field
Pointspread 0 -108
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +37

77%

Betting Action

23%

Pointspread 0 -112
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +37

77%

Betting Action

23%

The Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers will engage in an important showdown on Sunday Night Football this week. These two squads hold the final two playoff spots in the AFC as the Bills (9-4) are the No. 5 seed while the Steelers (8-5) are the No. 6 seed. With the red-hot Tennessee Titans also at 8-5, the loser of this game will likely see their playoff chances take a hit.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Bills have been excellent on the road this season as they are 5-1 straight up in away games and 5-0-1 against the spread. They’re 8-4 against the spread overall. They’ve also been a great under bet as the under has cashed all six times that they’ve been a dog. They are 4-1-1 against the spread in those games.

Meanwhile, the Steelers have been a strong home team as they are 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS at Heinz Field. They’ve been a home favorite of three or less twice this season and have covered both times. They’re 6-1 SU and ATS the last seven times they’ve hosted the Bills.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills and Steelers virtually mirror each other. Both have good defenses and suspect offenses. However, the Bills should field the better offense on Sunday. Sure, Josh Allen has had his issues – he’s been held under 20 completions in six of his last eight games – but they’re able to run the ball a little bit with Devin Singletary. The Bills rank fifth in the NFL in terms of rushing yards at 135.5 per game. Only six teams average better than their 4.6 yards-per-carry.

On defense, the Bills goal will be simply to stop the run. Steelers third-string quarterback Devlin Hodges is not a real threat to pick anyone apart – he’s averaged just 182.0 passing yards per game over the last two weeks – so the Bills have to be focused on stopping the run. The other focus here has to be avoiding turnovers. The Steelers live off of them but when the defense isn’t getting the takeaways to put the offense in good field position, they struggle. Punts will not be a bad thing for the Bills this week but turnovers will be crippling.

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are not getting much national love but they don’t care. The team that was buried after they started 1-4 and lost Ben Roethlisberger for the season has been nearly untouchable ever since. They’ve won three in a row and seven of their last eight. Most of that has been spurred by an incredible defense, which is fifth in total yards allowed and sixth in points per game. They’re allowing a paltry 14.6 points per game over their last five contests. The Steelers defense also leads the league in sacks and takeaways, which is incredible.

On Sunday, they have a relatively easy task as they also just have to stop the run. Allen is a bit of a playmaker but for the most part, he’s not a guy that can consistently pick apart a good defense through the air. Buffalo has beaten the bad teams but struggled against elite opponents. With another one in front of them on Sunday, they might look ordinary again.

Who Will Win Bills vs. Steelers?

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