Bills vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Week 13 Odds, Prediction
It’s an AFC East matchup on Thursday night to kick off Week 13 as the Buffalo Bills visit the New England Patriots. Buffalo is a 5-point favourite on the NFL odds.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
New England used to completely own Buffalo when Tom Brady was with the Patriots, but things have changed as now the Bills have clearly the better quarterback in MVP candidate Josh Allen over young Mac Jones.
This is the first meeting of the season and Buffalo will host New England in Week 18. Last season, they split in the regular season with each winning on the road. The Bills then hosted the Patriots in a wild-card round game and rolled 47-17. Allen set a team playoff record with five touchdown passes, including two to Dawson Knox, and Devin Singletary ran for two scores in the first half. Buffalo became the NFL’s first team in the Super Bowl era to score on each of its seven possessions that didn’t end with a kneeldown.
Jones was picked off twice and had two meaningless TD passes. The margin of defeat was the largest in the playoffs for New England in coach Bill Belichick’s tenure, which began in 2000.
The underdog is 5-2-1 against the spread in the past eight meetings.
Buffalo Bills
Easily the most entertaining game on the American Thanksgiving holiday was Buffalo’s 28-25 win in Detroit. It looked to be headed to overtime after the Lions tied it 25-all on a 51-yard field goal with 23 seconds left, but Josh Allen got the Bills in position for their own field-goal try and Tyler Bass was good from 45 yards. Buffalo became the third NFL team to play two games in five or fewer days on the road in the same stadium, and the first to win both. Allen threw for 253 yards and two scores and rushed 78 times for a touchdown. The Bills came into the game without centre Mitch Morse and lost left tackle Dion Dawkins (ankle). Potentially even worse news: pass-rusher and likely future Hall of Famer Von Miller injured his knee. He leads the team in sacks with eight but is out indefinitely. Both Greg Rousseau and A.J. Epenesa, the team’s top pass-rushers after Miller, were inactive for Thursday’s game with ankle injuries. Buffalo is 7-3-1 ATS in its past 11 vs. the AFC East.
New England Patriots
New England’s three-game winning streak was snapped in a 33-26 loss at Minnesota last Thursday – the Patriots had allowed only 23 points combined during the streak, but the Vikings’ Kirk Cousins threw for 299 yards and three touchdowns, the last a go-ahead score to Adam Thielen with 9:34 left. Mac Jones passed for a career-high 382 yards and two scores for New England, but the team’s fourth quarter included two three-and-out punts, a turnover on downs at the Minnesota 39 and a brief desperation last drive. Running back Damien Harris was on crutches in the locker room after leaving with a thigh injury. Pro Bowl centre David Andrews missed the game injured. New England is 4-0 ATS in its past four vs. the AFC.
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