Can they do it again? Fans and bettors alike are wondering that very thing as the Buffalo Bills head to hostile Lambeau Field for a Sunday afternoon date with the Green Bay Packers.
The Bills are double-digit underdogs for a second straight week – but that didn’t phase them last time out, as they shocked the Vikings 27-6 in Minnesota despite getting 16.5 points. The Packers are coming off a 31-17 rout at the hands of host Washington.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
| time | fav | line | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening 25 Sep 1:07pm | BUF | -10 -110 | O +45.5 -110 |
| Closing 30 Sep 3:50pm | BUF | -9 -110 | O +44 -110 |
Buffalo had lost 17 consecutive games SU as a double-digit ‘dog before last week’s win – so what are the chances of lightning striking twice? Bettors should start by concerning themselves with the Bills’ ability to cover in that scenario – and the news isn’t great on that front, with Buffalo having gone just 3-5 ATS the last eight times they’ve received 10 or more points. Green Bay is 1-3 ATS the last four times it has been a double-digit fave, with its only win coming on the road.
The total for this one has risen 1.5 points to 45.5 – and given how prolific the Packers have been at converting the over, that number might continue to climb. Green Bay is an incredible 21-5 O/U in its previous 26 games overall, and has cashed the over in nine of its past 10 games against teams with losing records. Buffalo has exceeded the total in five of its previous seven games following a straight-up win, but is 0-5 O/U in its last five Week 4 games.
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen has been a revelation for the Bills, guiding them to last week’s incredible upset on the strength of one passing touchdown and two rushing scores. He leads the team with 97 yards on the ground and completed better than 68 percent of his passes vs. the Vikings. But with the Packers ranking 10th in the NFL in QB pressure, Allen could find things a little rougher at Lambeau than he did in Minnesota – so be wary of Buffalo going over its team total of 18.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers has been good but not great through the first three games – and part of that is the fault of his top two receivers. Both Randall Cobb and Davante Adams have a pair of drops; only three receivers have more. Cobb, in particular, had a disastrous afternoon against Washington, dropping a pair of passes that would have extended Green Bay drives and losing a key fumble. Look for a solid bounce-back at home, where the Packers are a good bet to surpass their team total of 28 points.
Weather
| temp | 49 |
| condition | cloudy |
| wind | Northeast 9mph |
Injuries
Deonte Thompson (WR)
Patrick DiMarco (FB)
Corey Thompson (LB)
Stephen Hauschka (K)
Ryan Lewis (CB)
Isaiah McKenzie (WR)
Jason Croom (TE)
Lafayette Pitts (CB)
Russell Bodine (C)
Shaq Lawson (DE)
Fadol Brown (DL)
JK Scott (P)
Jamaal Williams (RB)
Will Redmond (CB)
Alex Light (T)
Kenny Clark (DL)
Hunter Bradley (LS)
Clay Matthews (LB)
Ibraheim Campbell (S)
Byron Bell (T)
Injuries
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deonte Thompson (WR) | Out Sun | Toe - 28 / 12 / 18 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Thompson will not take the field against the Dolphins on Sunday due to a toe injury. |
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| Patrick DiMarco (FB) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
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DiMarco is battling an ankle injury but is expected to be available Sunday against the Patriots. |
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| Corey Thompson (LB) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
|
Thompson is hampered by an ankle injury but it is not expected to affect his status for Sunday's tilt against the Patriots. |
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| Stephen Hauschka (K) | Prob Sun | Back - 10 / 12 / 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
|
Hauschka missed the last game with a lower-back injury but it is anticipated that he will participate in Sunday's contest against the Patriots. |
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| Ryan Lewis (CB) | Out Sun | Concussion - 10 / 12 / 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
|
Lewis has missed the last two games battling a concussion and will not be able to pass the league-mandated protocol in time for Sunday's game against the Dolphins. |
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| Isaiah McKenzie (WR) | Ques Sun | Toe - 06 / 12 / 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
|
McKenzie is hampered by a toe injury and it is unclear if he will take the field Sunday versus the Jets. |
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| Jason Croom (TE) | Prob Sun | Groin - 05 / 12 / 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
|
Croom missed the last game with a groin injury but is likely to play against the Lions on Sunday. |
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| Lafayette Pitts (CB) | Ques Sun | Concussion - 25 / 11 / 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Pitts left the last game due to a concussion and his status for Sunday's contest against the Dolphins is up in the air. |
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| Russell Bodine (C) | Ques Sun | Shoulder - 21 / 11 / 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Bodine is battling a shoulder injury and it is undetermined if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars. |
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| Shaq Lawson (DE) | Ques Sun | Elbow - 21 / 11 / 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Lawson has an elbow injury and it is unknown if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars. |
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| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fadol Brown (DL) | Ques Sun | Toe - 28 / 12 / 18 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
|
Brown is bothered by a toe issue that provides uncertain status for Sunday's game against the Lions. |
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| JK Scott (P) | Prob Sun | Illness - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Scott is indisposed with an illness but is expected to be in Sunday's lineup against the Jets. |
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| Jamaal Williams (RB) | Prob Sun | Toe - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Williams is tending to a toe injury but it is expected he will face the Jets on Sunday. |
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| Will Redmond (CB) | out for season | Shoulder - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Redmond has been placed on injured reserve with a shoulder injury, ending his season. |
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| Alex Light (T) | Prob Sun | Suspension - 17 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Light received a one-game suspension for violating the league policy on substance abuse but has been reinstated for Sunday's game against the Lions. |
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| Kenny Clark (DL) | I-R | Elbow - 09 / 12 / 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | + - |
|
Clark suffered an elbow injury and is on the injured reserve list. |
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| Hunter Bradley (LS) | Ques Sun | Ankle - 06 / 12 / 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | + - |
|
Bradley injured his ankle and it is undetermined if it will prevent him from playing against the Falcons on Sunday. |
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| Clay Matthews (LB) | Ques Sun | Ankle - 05 / 12 / 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | + - |
|
Matthews is tending to an ankle injury, leaving his availability against the Falcons on Sunday hazy. |
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| Ibraheim Campbell (S) | I-R | Undisclosed - 04 / 12 / 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | + - |
|
Campbell is on injured reserve due to an unspecified ailment. |
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| Byron Bell (T) | I-R | Knee - 02 / 12 / 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | + - |
|
Bell is on injured reserve with a knee injury. |
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Bills vs. Packers Prediction
-
BUFFALO BILLS
17 -
GREEN BAY PACKERS
31
Score
Prediction
-
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 25 Sep 1:07pm BUF -10 -110 O +45.5 -110 Closing 30 Sep 3:50pm BUF -9 -110 O +44 -110 -
Weather
temp 49 condition cloudy wind Northeast 9mph -
Injuries
Deonte Thompson (WR)
Out Sun Toe - 28 / 12 / 18Patrick DiMarco (FB)
Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18Corey Thompson (LB)
Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18Stephen Hauschka (K)
Prob Sun Back - 10 / 12 / 18Ryan Lewis (CB)
Out Sun Concussion - 10 / 12 / 18Isaiah McKenzie (WR)
Ques Sun Toe - 06 / 12 / 18Jason Croom (TE)
Prob Sun Groin - 05 / 12 / 18Lafayette Pitts (CB)
Ques Sun Concussion - 25 / 11 / 18Russell Bodine (C)
Ques Sun Shoulder - 21 / 11 / 18Shaq Lawson (DE)
Ques Sun Elbow - 21 / 11 / 18Fadol Brown (DL)
Ques Sun Toe - 28 / 12 / 18JK Scott (P)
Prob Sun Illness - 19 / 12 / 18Jamaal Williams (RB)
Prob Sun Toe - 19 / 12 / 18Will Redmond (CB)
out for season Shoulder - 19 / 12 / 18Alex Light (T)
Prob Sun Suspension - 17 / 12 / 18Kenny Clark (DL)
I-R Elbow - 09 / 12 / 18Hunter Bradley (LS)
Ques Sun Ankle - 06 / 12 / 18Clay Matthews (LB)
Ques Sun Ankle - 05 / 12 / 18Ibraheim Campbell (S)
I-R Undisclosed - 04 / 12 / 18Byron Bell (T)
I-R Knee - 02 / 12 / 18Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Deonte Thompson (WR) Out Sun Toe - 28 / 12 / 18 1-0 0-1 + - Thompson will not take the field against the Dolphins on Sunday due to a toe injury.
Patrick DiMarco (FB) Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 0-2 + - DiMarco is battling an ankle injury but is expected to be available Sunday against the Patriots.
Corey Thompson (LB) Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 0-2 + - Thompson is hampered by an ankle injury but it is not expected to affect his status for Sunday's tilt against the Patriots.
Stephen Hauschka (K) Prob Sun Back - 10 / 12 / 18 1-2 1-2 + - Hauschka missed the last game with a lower-back injury but it is anticipated that he will participate in Sunday's contest against the Patriots.
Ryan Lewis (CB) Out Sun Concussion - 10 / 12 / 18 1-2 1-2 + - Lewis has missed the last two games battling a concussion and will not be able to pass the league-mandated protocol in time for Sunday's game against the Dolphins.
Isaiah McKenzie (WR) Ques Sun Toe - 06 / 12 / 18 1-3 1-3 + - McKenzie is hampered by a toe injury and it is unclear if he will take the field Sunday versus the Jets.
Jason Croom (TE) Prob Sun Groin - 05 / 12 / 18 1-3 1-3 + - Croom missed the last game with a groin injury but is likely to play against the Lions on Sunday.
Lafayette Pitts (CB) Ques Sun Concussion - 25 / 11 / 18 3-3 3-3 + - Pitts left the last game due to a concussion and his status for Sunday's contest against the Dolphins is up in the air.
Russell Bodine (C) Ques Sun Shoulder - 21 / 11 / 18 3-3 3-3 + - Bodine is battling a shoulder injury and it is undetermined if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars.
Shaq Lawson (DE) Ques Sun Elbow - 21 / 11 / 18 3-3 3-3 + - Lawson has an elbow injury and it is unknown if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Fadol Brown (DL) Ques Sun Toe - 28 / 12 / 18 1-0 1-0 + - Brown is bothered by a toe issue that provides uncertain status for Sunday's game against the Lions.
JK Scott (P) Prob Sun Illness - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 1-1 + - Scott is indisposed with an illness but is expected to be in Sunday's lineup against the Jets.
Jamaal Williams (RB) Prob Sun Toe - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 1-1 + - Williams is tending to a toe injury but it is expected he will face the Jets on Sunday.
Will Redmond (CB) out for season Shoulder - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 1-1 + - Redmond has been placed on injured reserve with a shoulder injury, ending his season.
Alex Light (T) Prob Sun Suspension - 17 / 12 / 18 1-1 1-1 + - Light received a one-game suspension for violating the league policy on substance abuse but has been reinstated for Sunday's game against the Lions.
Kenny Clark (DL) I-R Elbow - 09 / 12 / 18 2-2 2-2 + - Clark suffered an elbow injury and is on the injured reserve list.
Hunter Bradley (LS) Ques Sun Ankle - 06 / 12 / 18 2-2 2-2 + - Bradley injured his ankle and it is undetermined if it will prevent him from playing against the Falcons on Sunday.
Clay Matthews (LB) Ques Sun Ankle - 05 / 12 / 18 2-2 2-2 + - Matthews is tending to an ankle injury, leaving his availability against the Falcons on Sunday hazy.
Ibraheim Campbell (S) I-R Undisclosed - 04 / 12 / 18 2-2 2-2 + - Campbell is on injured reserve due to an unspecified ailment.
Byron Bell (T) I-R Knee - 02 / 12 / 18 2-3 2-3 + - Bell is on injured reserve with a knee injury.