Bills vs. Jets Point Spread: NFL Week 7 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Oct 22, 2020

AP JETS DOLPHINS FOOTBALL S FBN USA FL

Imagine being a two-touchdown underdog in your own stadium. That’s the reality the New York Jets face this weekend.

Buffalo
7-3
AT
October 25, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
N.Y. Jets
0-10
Pointspread -10 -105
Moneyline -470
Over / Under o +46

92%

Betting Action

8%

Pointspread +10 -115
Moneyline +357
Over / Under u +46

92%

Betting Action

8%

Back-to-back losses have narrowed the Buffalo Bills’ lead atop the AFC East – but they couldn’t have asked for a better bounce-back opportunity Sunday afternoon as they visit the winless New York Jets. The 4-2 Bills are one game ahead of the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots and actually have a negative point differential on the season. But they’re in much better shape than the Jets, who are at -110 in scoring margin and are big-time underdogs here.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Imagine being a two-touchdown underdog in your own stadium. That’s the reality the Jets face this weekend, and they’re full value for that status after having lost each of their first six games of the 2020 season by an average of 18.3 points. And in typical Jets fashion, they’ve been poor cover options even when getting a ton of points, having gone just 3-10 against the spread (ATS) in their previous 13 games when receiving at least 13 points.

The total for this Week 7 divisional tilt is on the low side at 45, with just over three-quarters of Sports Interaction bettors siding with the Under. And given that the Jets are averaging a minuscule 14.2 points per game, that activity makes a lot of sense on the surface. But these teams have trended in the opposite direction when playing on the Jets’ home turf, with the Over cashing in seven of the past 10 meetings in that scenario.

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo offence was a sight to behold over the first four weeks of the season, surpassing the 30-point barrier three times as the Bills rolled to a 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) start. But Josh Allen and Co. have stumbled in recent weeks, scoring a combined 33 points in defeats to the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs. Allen was held largely in check over those two games, throwing for just 385 total yards with four touchdowns and three interceptions.

New York Jets

The Jets were somewhat competitive in their 27-17 loss in Buffalo in the season opener, but circumstances were different back then. For one, quarterback Sam Darnold was healthy for that game but won’t be 100 percent this week if he’s even able to return at all from his shoulder injury. There’s also the matter of Le’Veon Bell having been cut and subsequently signing in KC, leaving the Jets with Frank Gore and Lamical Perine as their top two running backs.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Bills vs. Jets?

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