Bengals vs. Colts Point Spread: NFL Week 1 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Sep 04, 2018

andrew luck tj hilton

The Colts will only go as far as Luck takes them – and given his recent injury history, that doesn’t bode well for fans or bettors who have taken the over on Indianapolis’ win total of 6.5, which presently pays out at -211.

Cincinnati
6-10
AT
September 09, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
Lucas Oil Stadium
Pointspread -1 -110
Moneyline -115
Over / Under o +47.5

65%

Betting Action

35%

Pointspread +1 -110
Moneyline -105
Over / Under u +47.5

65%

Betting Action

35%

For the first time since the end of the 2016 season, the Indianapolis Colts will have their franchise player back on the field as Andrew Luck returns to action this Sunday in season-opening action against the visiting Cincinnati Bengals. Luck missed the entire 2017 campaign due to injury – and the Colts subsequently fell apart, winning just four games while boasting one of the most porous defences in the league.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Hope springs eternal in the Hoosier State, with the Colts favoured by a field goal. They were favoured just twice all of last season, and wound up covering both times. Indianapolis has covered three straight September home games following a 1-6 ATS stretch for the month, and are a healthy 7-5 ATS in their past 12 as a favourite. But the Bengals are equal to the task, having gone a sizzling 12-4-2 ATS in their previous 18 games as a September road underdog.

The total for this rematch of the pre-season finale has risen from 47 to 48.5, as bettors put their faith in Luck while simultaneously slamming his defence. The Colts have been a hot under play at Lucas Oil Stadium, having gone 2-11 O/U in their past 13 home games. Unfortunately, that trend is built largely on Indianapolis’ scoring woes at home, with the Colts having surpassed the 20-point threshold just five times in that span.

Cincinnati Bengals

Beware those over urgings: the Bengals have gone under the 48-point mark in eight straight games against AFC South opponents dating back to 2015. In fact, six of those games produced 36 or fewer total points. The history between the teams in Indianapolis is rather bizarre, with the Bengals having won the first five meetings there before losing the next seven – highlighted by a 27-0 rout in their previous visit to Lucas Oil Stadium back in 2014.

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts will only go as far as Luck takes them – and given his recent injury history, that doesn’t bode well for fans or bettors who have taken the over on Indianapolis’ win total of 6.5, which presently pays out at -211. Luck has appeared in just 22 regular-season games the past three years, though he has thrown a whopping 46 touchdown passes over that span. The Colts enter the season with the worst odds to win the AFC South Division at +450.

Bengals vs. Colts Prediction

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