Bills vs. Chiefs Odds NFL Odds

January 24, 2021, 06:40 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium

Matchup Odds

Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:

Team Spread Moneyline Over / Under
BUF +3 -125 +123 U+54.5-113
KC -3 +104 -148 O+54.5-107

Betting Action

Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:

team
BUF

56%

KC

44%

Over/Under
Over

53%

Under

47%

Line History

Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:

time fav line total
Opening 17 Jan 11:50pm BUF -3 -110 O +53 -110
Closing 24 Jan 10:45pm BUF -3 +104 O +54.5 -107
Line History
Spread
Total
  • Regular Season
  • Playoffs

Team Leaders

BUF KC
Touchdowns

Stefon Diggs

8

Tyreek Hill

17
Rushing

Devin Singletary

687

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

803
Passing

Josh Allen

4544

Patrick Mahomes

4740
Receiving

Stefon Diggs

127

Travis Kelce

105
Sacks

A.J. Klein

5

Chris Jones

7.5
Interceptions

Tre'Davious White

3

Tyrann Mathieu

6
BUF KC
Touchdowns

Dawson Knox

2

Travis Kelce

3
Rushing

Josh Allen

145

Darrel Williams

135
Passing

Josh Allen

817

Patrick Mahomes

850
Receiving

Stefon Diggs

20

Travis Kelce

31
Sacks

Jerry Hughes

3

Frank Clark

3
Interceptions

Taron Johnson

1

Tyrann Mathieu

1

Bills vs. Chiefs NFL Point Spread: AFC Championship Odds, Prediction

Like in the NFC Championship game earlier Sunday, the AFC Championship game is a regular-season rematch as the Bills visit the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs.

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Orchard Park 15 3 9-1 6W 12-6 0 0-0 0-0 11-6-1
Kansas City 15 2 9-1 1L 7-10 0 0-0 0-0 8-9
  • Recent Meetings
  • BUF Last 10
  • KC Last 10

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u KC:Total Net Yards KC:Net Rushing Yards KC:Passing Yards BUF:Total Net Yards BUF:Net Rushing Yards BUF:Passing Yards
01/24/2021 KC 38 - BUF 24 KC -3 Over 55 439 114 325 363 129 234
10/19/2020 BUF 17 - KC 26 KC -4 Under 55 466 245 221 206 84 122
11/26/2017 KC 10 - BUF 16 BUF +9.5 Under 47 236 55 181 268 104 164
11/29/2015 KC 30 - BUF 22 KC -6 Over 42 413 158 255 415 129 286
11/03/2013 BUF 13 - KC 23 KC -4.5 Under 41.5 470 241 229 210 95 115
09/16/2012 BUF 35 - KC 17 BUF -3 Over 44.5 379 201 178 422 150 272
09/11/2011 KC 7 - BUF 41 BUF +3.5 Over 42 213 108 105 364 163 201
10/31/2010 KC 13 - BUF 10 BUF +9 Under 43 414 274 140 328 137 191

Buffalo Last 10 Meetings

date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
01/24/2021 KC 38 - BUF 24 L +3 Over 55 363 129 234
01/16/2021 BUF 17 - BAL 3 W -3 Under 49.5 340 150 190
01/09/2021 BUF 27 - IND 24 L -6.5 Under 51.5 472 163 309
01/03/2021 BUF 56 - MIA 26 W -4.5 Over 43 454 70 384
12/28/2020 NE 9 - BUF 38 W -6.5 Under 47.5 474 130 344
12/19/2020 DEN 19 - BUF 48 W -6 Over 48 534 182 352
12/13/2020 BUF 26 - PIT 15 W Under 48.5 224 47 177
12/07/2020 SF 24 - BUF 34 W -3 Over 48 449 81 368
11/29/2020 BUF 27 - LAC 17 W -4.5 Under 51.5 367 76 291
11/15/2020 ARI 32 - BUF 30 W +3 Over 56 369 73 296

Kansas City Last 10 Meetings

date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
02/07/2021 TB 31 - KC 9 L -3.5 Under 54.5 340 145 195
01/24/2021 KC 38 - BUF 24 W -3 Over 55 439 114 325
01/17/2021 KC 22 - CLE 17 L -10.5 Under 56 438 123 315
01/03/2021 KC 21 - LAC 38 L +7 Over 43 268 51 217
12/27/2020 KC 17 - ATL 14 L -11.5 Under 54 395 117 278
12/13/2020 MIA 27 - KC 33 L -7.5 Over 48.5 367 80 287
12/06/2020 KC 22 - DEN 16 L -13.5 Under 51.5 447 134 313
11/29/2020 TB 24 - KC 27 L -3.5 Under 56 417 75 342
11/22/2020 LV 31 - KC 35 L -7.5 Over 57 364 89 275
12/30/2018 KC 35 - LV 3 W -14.5 Under 54 409 99 310

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Bills BUF
Chiefs KC
avg rank edge in rank avg
31.31 2 Points Per Game 6 29.56
23.44 15 Points Allowed Per Game 10 22.63
5.63 10 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game 7 5.88
3.06 1 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 7 4.38
10.94 3 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game 7 9.31
6.06 4 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 9 7.31
5.75 8 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game 9 5.69
6.31 24 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 1 1.75
9 1 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game 5 8.5
8 16 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 21 9.19
61.8 13 Red Zone Efficiency 14 61.0
396.44 2 Total Yards Per Game 1 415.81
10.64 12 Total Yards Per Play 13 10.56
4.19 17 Rushing Yards Per Play 10 4.46
37.25 11 Passing Attempts Per Game 3 39.38
11.27 6 Passing Yards Per Completion 2 11.56
2.5 3 Passing Tds Per Game 3 2.5
25.63 4 Completions Per Game 2 26.25
68.8 5 Completion % 11 66.7
107.55 3 Qb Rating 4 107.28
1.69 15 Defense Sacks Per Game 18 1.5
0.69 8 Defense Interceptions Per Game 11 0.44
1.38 11 Opponent Fumbles Per Game 5 1
0.69 4 Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game 6 0.56
6.38 19 Penalties Per Game 21 6.56
58.81 28 Penalty Yards Per Game 27 57.44
22 10 Takeaway / Giveaway Differential 4 16
9.02 1 Yards Per Punt Return 19 3.13
27.64 1 Yards Per Kickoff Return 4 25.84

Odds Analysis

Overall W/L Records

Team Overall Home Away Grass Turf Div Conf
Bills 15-3 9-1 5-2 4-2 11-1 6-0 12-2
Chiefs 14-5 5-3 9-2 11-4 3-1 5-2 11-4

ATS vs Closing Line

Team Overall Home Away Grass Turf Div Conf
Bills 12-6 7-3 4-3 4-2 8-4 3-3 8-6
Chiefs 11-8 5-3 6-5 9-6 2-2 4-3 8-7

O/U Records

Team Overall home away grass turf div conf
Bills 11-6-1 6-4 4-2-1 5-0-1 6-6 4-2 7-6-1
Chiefs 11-8 4-4 7-4 9-6 2-2 5-2 9-6

Team Rankings - offence

Bills
Season stats rank
Total Yards 396.4 3
Passing Yards 288.75 3
Rushing Yards 107.69 20
Points Scored 31.31 2
Field Goal % 0.82 18
Chiefs
Season stats rank
Total Yards 415.8 1
Passing Yards 303.38 1
Rushing Yards 112.44 16
Points Scored 29.56 6
Field Goal % 0.93 9

Team Rankings - defence

Bills
Season stats rank
Total Yards 352.5 14
Passing Yards 232.88 13
Rushing Yards 119.63 17
Points Scored 23.44 16
Field Goal % 0.92 30
Chiefs
Season stats rank
Total Yards 358.3 16
Passing Yards 236.19 14
Rushing Yards 122.13 21
Points Scored 22.63 10
Field Goal % 0.69 2

Weather

temp 40
condition cloudy
wind Northeast 7mph

Buffalo News + Tweets

Kansas City News + Tweets

Injuries

Cole Beasley (WR)
Prob Sun Knee - 21 / 01 / 21

Quinton Jefferson (DL)
Prob Sun Ankle - 20 / 01 / 21

Vernon Butler (DT)
Ques Sun Quadricep - 20 / 01 / 21

Gabriel Davis (WR)
Ques Sun Ankle - 16 / 01 / 21

Cole Beasley (WR)
Prob Sat Knee - 12 / 01 / 21

Darryl Johnson (DE)
Prob Sun Knee - 12 / 01 / 21

Ed Oliver (DT)
Prob Sat Ankle - 12 / 01 / 21

Justin Zimmer (DT)
Prob Sat Groin - 12 / 01 / 21

Zack Moss (RB)
I-R Ankle - 09 / 01 / 21

Isaiah McKenzie (WR)
Prob Sat Ankle - 05 / 01 / 21

Darwin Thompson (RB)
Ques Sun Illness - 05 / 02 / 21

Demarcus Robinson (WR)
Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 02 / 21

Daniel Kilgore (C)
Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 02 / 21

Rashad Fenton (CB)
Prob Sun Foot - 28 / 01 / 21

L'Jarius Sneed (DB)
Prob Sun Concussion - 28 / 01 / 21

Le'Veon Bell (RB)
Prob Sun Knee - 21 / 01 / 21

Bashaud Breeland (CB)
Ques Sun Concussion - 20 / 01 / 21

Deon Yelder (TE)
Prob Sun Groin - 13 / 01 / 21

Mike Danna (DE)
Out indefinitely Illness - 06 / 01 / 21

Rashad Fenton (CB)
Ques Sun Ankle - 03 / 01 / 21

Injuries

player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes
Cole Beasley (WR) Prob Sun Knee - 21 / 01 / 21 1-0 0-1 + -

Beasley is tending to a knee injury, but it is likely that he will suit up for the AFC Championship game versus the Chiefs.
Quinton Jefferson (DL) Prob Sun Ankle - 20 / 01 / 21 1-0 0-1 + -

Jefferson has an injured ankle, but it is anticipated that he will line up against the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game.
Vernon Butler (DT) Ques Sun Quadricep - 20 / 01 / 21 1-0 0-1 + -

Butler is bothered by a quad injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take part in the AFC Championship game versus the Chiefs.
Gabriel Davis (WR) Ques Sun Ankle - 16 / 01 / 21 1-1 1-1 + -

Davis is nursing an ankle injury, and his status for the AFC Championship game versus the Chiefs is in question.
Cole Beasley (WR) Prob Sat Knee - 12 / 01 / 21 1-1 1-1 + -

Beasley is nursing a knee injury, but it is anticipated that he will be available for the AFC divisional round versus the Ravens.
Darryl Johnson (DE) Prob Sun Knee - 12 / 01 / 21 1-1 1-1 + -

Johnson is dealing with a knee injury, but it is anticipated that he will partake in the AFC Championship game against the Chiefs.
Ed Oliver (DT) Prob Sat Ankle - 12 / 01 / 21 1-1 1-1 + -

Oliver is tending to an ankle injury, but it is anticipated that he will be active for the AFC divisional round versus the Ravens.
Justin Zimmer (DT) Prob Sat Groin - 12 / 01 / 21 1-1 1-1 + -

Zimmer is bothered by a groin injury, but it is likely that he will line up against the Ravens in the AFC divisional round.
Zack Moss (RB) I-R Ankle - 09 / 01 / 21 2-1 2-1 + -

Moss has been posted to the injured reserve list due to an ankle injury.
Isaiah McKenzie (WR) Prob Sat Ankle - 05 / 01 / 21 2-1 2-1 + -

McKenzie is tending to an ankle injury, but it is expected that he will line up against the Colts in the AFC Wild Card game.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes
Darwin Thompson (RB) Ques Sun Illness - 05 / 02 / 21 1-0 1-0 + -

Thompson is ailing from an illness, and it has yet to be established if he will take on the Buccaneers in the 2021 Super Bowl.
Demarcus Robinson (WR) Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 02 / 21 1-0 1-0 + -

Robinson has been posted to the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list, and there is no timetable for return.
Daniel Kilgore (C) Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 02 / 21 1-0 1-0 + -

Kilgore will be on the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list for an extended period.
Rashad Fenton (CB) Prob Sun Foot - 28 / 01 / 21 1-0 1-0 + -

Fenton is managing a foot injury, but it is expected that he will line up for the 2021 Super Bowl versus the Buccaneers.
L'Jarius Sneed (DB) Prob Sun Concussion - 28 / 01 / 21 1-0 1-0 + -

Sneed is battling a concussion, but he is likely to be cleared for the 2021 Super Bowl versus the Buccaneers.
Le'Veon Bell (RB) Prob Sun Knee - 21 / 01 / 21 1-1 1-1 + -

Bell has a knee injury, but he is expected to be available for Super Bowl 55 versus the Buccaneers.
Bashaud Breeland (CB) Ques Sun Concussion - 20 / 01 / 21 1-1 1-1 + -

Breeland is battling a concussion and a shoulder injury, and it remains to be seen if he will dress for the AFC Championship game versus the Bills.
Deon Yelder (TE) Prob Sun Groin - 13 / 01 / 21 1-2 2-1 + -

Yelder has been activated from the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list after recovering from a groin injury. He is expected to suit up for Super Bowl 55 versus the Buccaneers.
Mike Danna (DE) Out indefinitely Illness - 06 / 01 / 21 1-2 2-1 + -

Danna will be on the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list for an extended period.
Rashad Fenton (CB) Ques Sun Ankle - 03 / 01 / 21 1-3 2-2 + -

Fenton is tending to injuries in both of his ankles, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Bills in the AFC Championship game.

Buffalo Vs Kansas City Betting Trends

Bills are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

Bills are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.

Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Over is 6-0 in Chiefs last 6 games as a home underdog.

Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games in January.

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City.

Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

  • BUF
  • +3 -3
  • KC
NFL Odds