Liberty Bowl Spread: Missouri vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 19, 2018

drew lock

Expect a shootout between two excellent quarterbacks on New Year’s Eve afternoon as No. 23 Missouri of the SEC faces Oklahoma State of the Big 12 in the Liberty Bowl from Memphis.

Missouri
8-4
AT
December 31, 2018, 3:45 PM ET
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Pointspread -10 -110
Moneyline -360
Over / Under o +73

34%

Betting Action

66%

Pointspread +10 -110
Moneyline +280
Over / Under u +73

34%

Betting Action

66%

The Liberty Bowl was first played in 1959 and welcomes Missouri for the third time (last in 1980) and Oklahoma State for the first. It’s the second straight year the Tigers face a Big 12 team in a bowl game. Last December, they lost to Texas 33-16 in the Texas Bowl. It’s the 13th straight bowl game for Oklahoma State under Coach Mike Gundy, who is always entertaining in his press conferences. The Pokes won the Camping World Bowl a year ago over Virginia Tech 30-21.

College Football Betting Analysis

Missouri is a former Big 12 team so these schools have played plenty over the years, last in the Cotton Bowl following the 2013 season, a 41-31 Tigers victory. OSU had won the previous three meetings, all when they were conference foes.

Oklahoma State didn’t face an SEC team this season and is 4-5-1 ATS in its past 10 vs. teams from the conference. The Pokes last saw an SEC program in the Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Day 2016, getting routed by Ole Miss. Missouri is 4-5-1 ATS in its past 10 vs. Big 12 schools, with its last game that bowl loss to Texas.

Missouri Tigers

It’s the final collegiate game for Missouri quarterback Drew Lock, who should be a 2019 first-round pick and possibly the first QB taken depending on how he does in workouts and which other QBs declare. Lock threw for 3,125 yards and 25 scores; he’s not very mobile but did have six rushing TDs as well. Missouri, which averaged 36.9 ppg, closed the season strong in winning its final four, three in routs. That included a 38-17 upset at then-No. 11 Florida. The Tigers lost two games on the final play this season, at South Carolina (37-35) and vs. then-No. 12 Kentucky (15-14; after a penalty extended the game).

The Liberty Bowl is a bit of a homecoming for Coach Barry Odom, who was a defensive coordinator at Memphis from 2012-14. He left that school for the same job at Missouri before eventually being promoted. Johnathon Johnson, who leads the Tigers with 50 receptions (552 yards, four touchdowns), is also from Memphis.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Per usual under Gundy, the Cowboys have an excellent offence. They averaged 38.4 points behind first-year starting QB Tyler Cornelius, a former walk-on. He ranked in the top 10 nationally in passing yards (3,642) and passing touchdowns (28), while rushing for 10 more scores. Cornelius has an All-American receiver in Tylan Wallace (79 catches, 1,408 yards, 11 scores), who was a finalist for the Biletnikoff Award. He led the nation during the regular season with 59 receptions of 10 yards or longer and his 17.82 yards per catch led the country among players with a minimum of 60 grabs.

Justice Hill was one of the Big 12’s top running backs and rushed for 930 yards and nine scores but missed the final two regular-season games and has opted to skip the bowl game to prepare for the NFL Draft. Defence has been an issue, with the Cowboys allowing 32.4 ppg.

Tigers vs. Cowboys Prediction

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