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Andrew Rogers
SoFi Hawaii Bowl Prediction: Hawaii vs. BYU Odds
The Rainbow Warriors saw their four-game winning streak ground to a halt with a 31-10 loss to Boise State, and they’re a slight underdog vs. a Cougars side that comes in having won five of its last six games.
SoFi Hawai’i Bowl Betting Analysis
For research purposes, we’re labeling this a home game for the Rainbow Warriors – and being an underdog at Aloha Stadium has been a problem for them from a covers perspective. They’re just 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games there, and they allowed an average of 47 points in the two games in 2019 in which they were home ‘dogs. But BYU has been even worse, going 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in four games as a road favourite this season.
This game carries a sky-high total of 64 – and the Rainbow Warriors’ recent applicable trends could lead to a flood of bets on the Over. Hawai’i is 15-6 O/U in its past 21 non-conference games and has cashed the Over in 11 of its previous 15 as an underdog. BYU has a more diverse set of totals trends coming in, having gone 6-2 to the Over in its last eight against Mountain West foes but 4-1 to the Under in its last five as a “neutral-site” favourite.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Scoring could be more scarce than oddsmakers expect if the Cougars’ red-zone tendencies hold true in Honolulu. BYU scored on just 38 of its 53 red-zone opportunities during the regular season, good for a 71.7-percent success rate that ranks 123 out of 130 FBS schools. So how did a team so inefficient downfield reach a bowl game? In part by limiting opponents to a touchdown or field goal on 78 percent of their red-zone trips (30th-best in FBS).
Brigham Young Cougars
Don’t be surprised to see the Rainbow Warriors air it out in this one – after all, they made a living out of the pass during the season, throwing it on 60.9 percent of their offensive plays (the fourth-highest rate in the country.) And they did a terrific job of protecting their quarterbacks despite the incredible number of attempts, allowing a sack on just 3.64 percent of dropbacks vs. FBS opponents – the 15th-best rate in the nation.
HAW
BYU