PlayStation Fiesta Bowl Prediction: Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Dec 29, 2021

Two defensive juggernauts are going head-to-head in Saturday's Fiesta Bowl as the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Oklahoma State Cowboys are set to meet for the first time in their schools' histories.

January 01, 2022, 1:00 PM ET
State Farm Stadium
Notre Dame
Pointspread -1 -110
Moneyline -120
Over / Under o +45


Betting Action


Pointspread +1 -110
Moneyline +100
Over / Under u +45


Betting Action


It’s straight into the fire for Notre Dame’s new head coach Marcus Freeman, who will lead the fifth ranked Fighting Irish against No. 9 Oklahoma State in the 2022 Fiesta Bowl on New Year’s Day.  Freeman takes over from Brian Kelly after the former Notre Dame head coach left the team to take over the higher profile job at LSU.

The Fighting Irish come in as 2.5-point favourites to win on the college football odds, with a total of 45.5.

PlayStation Fiesta Bowl Betting Analysis

Don’t sleep on the Cowboys in this game.  Oklahoma State is 3-0 against the spread and 2-1 straight up as an underdog this season and all three of those games had a single digit spread.  Head coach Mike Gundy has steered the team to a 10-5 SU record in bowl games during his tenure.  The team finished the season with an 11-2 record and have paid off nicely for bettors.  The Cowboys went 9-1-1 ATS over their last 11 games and 11-1-1 in their last 13 games versus opponents with a winning straight up record.  The total went Under in six of Oklahoma State’s last nine games.

Notre Dame was also a profitable pick for bettors this season.  The Irish were 9-3 ATS, winning and covering in each of their last seven games.  The total went Under in four of their last six games.  Despite winning their last 20 games as a favourite, keep in mind they’re just 1-9 SU in January games.  There’s also some desperation for this program.  Notre Dame went 0-4 in BCS bowls from 1998-2013 and 0-3 in New Year’s Day Six Bowls in the College Football era.  They’re ready for a win.

This will be the first-ever meeting between these teams.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

When Oklahoma State takes the field on Saturday, they’ll also be down a key staff member.  Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles jumped to Ohio State earlier this month and Gundy isn’t naming a replacement before the Fiesta Bowl.  Still, this is one of the best defences in college football.  The Cowboys had a top-10 scoring defence this year and led the nation in sacks.  They finished third in yards allowed per game, fourth in yards allowed per play, fifth against the run and 10th against the pass.  Five different Oklahoma State players had at least 10 tackles for loss this season and defensive ends Brock Martin and Collin Oliver combined for 18.5 sacks.

The major concern for the Cowboys is the offence.  Quarterback Spencer Sanders threw six interceptions in his last two games, including four during Oklahoma State’s loss to Baylor in the Big 12 championship.  Sanders finished the year with subpar numbers, throwing for 2,468 yards and 16 touchdowns with 12 interceptions.  He added another 543 yards and six TDs on the ground.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

This is a huge moment for Freeman following his promotion from defensive coordinator to head coach.  Unfortunately for Freeman, he’ll have a gaping hole at running back as Kyren Williams has opted out of the Fiesta Bowl to declare for the NFL draft.  Williams started Notre Dame’s last 24 games and helped the team pick up at least 150 rushing yards in each of the last seven games.  Chris Tyree (204 yards, 1 TD) and Logan Diggs (201 yards, 3 TD) will take over running the ball.  Quarterback Jack Coan has shown significant improvement since November, stringing together a four-game stretch that saw him complete 76 per cent of his passes with eight TDs and two INTs.

Defensively, the Fighting Irish ranked outside of the top 25 in the nation in yards allowed, but they allowed the fourth-lowest TD percentage in the red zone and finished 10th in points allowed.  They’ve also given up just 23 combined points over their last four games.

College Football Prediction: Who Will Win Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame?