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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds, Stats - September 27, 2025

Final Score
Sep 27th, 4:15 PM EDT
Tennessee
Volunteers
Mississippi State
Bulldogs
41
34
Tennessee Volunteers
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Scoreboard Final(OT) 1 2 3 4 O Odds
Tennessee Volunteers 8-4 41 10 7 3 14 7 +63.5
Mississippi State Bulldogs 5-7 34 7 10 7 10 0 +7.5

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
01/02/26
Wake Forest Demon Deacons WAKE ( 8-4 )
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST ( 5-7 )
43   -   29
12/30/25
Tennessee Volunteers TENN ( 8-4 )
Illinois Fighting Illini ILL ( 8-4 )
28   -   30
11/29/25
Vanderbilt Commodores VAN ( 10-2 )
Tennessee Volunteers TENN ( 8-4 )
45   -   24
11/28/25
Ole Miss Rebels MISS ( 11-1 )
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST ( 5-7 )
38   -   19
11/22/25
Tennessee Volunteers TENN ( 8-4 )
Florida Gators FLA ( 4-8 )
31   -   11
11/15/25
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST ( 5-7 )
Missouri Tigers MIZZ ( 8-4 )
27   -   49
11/15/25
New Mexico State Aggies NMSU ( 4-8 )
Tennessee Volunteers TENN ( 8-4 )
9   -   42
11/08/25
Georgia Bulldogs UGA ( 12-1 )
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST ( 5-7 )
41   -   21
11/01/25
Oklahoma Sooners OKLA ( 10-2 )
Tennessee Volunteers TENN ( 8-4 )
33   -   27
11/01/25
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST ( 5-7 )
Arkansas Razorbacks ARK ( 2-10 )
38   -   35
10/25/25
Tennessee Volunteers TENN ( 8-4 )
Kentucky Wildcats UK ( 5-7 )
56   -   34
10/25/25
Texas Longhorns TEX ( 9-3 )
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST ( 5-7 )
45   -   38

Matchup Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Over / Under
Tennessee Volunteers TENN
-7.5 0 0 U+63.50
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST
+7.5 0 0 O+63.50

Line History

time fav line total
Opening 21 Sep 8:35pm TENN O +62.5 -110
Closing 27 Sep 11:15pm TENN O +64.5 -150

Line History

Team Leaders

Tennessee Volunteers TENN
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST
DeSean Bishop
Running Back Mississippi State
14 Touchdowns 9
Davon Booth
Running Back Tennessee
DeSean Bishop
Running Back Mississippi State
983 Rushing 639
Fluff Bothwell
Running Back Tennessee
Joey Aguilar
Quarterback Mississippi State
3444 Passing 2433
Blake Shapen
Quarterback Tennessee
Braylon Staley
Wide Receiver Mississippi State
64 Receiving 63
Anthony Evans III
Wide Receiver Tennessee
Dominic Bailey
Defensive Lineman Mississippi State
4.5 Sacks 2.5
Nic Mitchell
Linebacker Tennessee
Brylan Lanier
Safety Tennessee
3 Interceptions 3
Ty Redmond
Defensive Back Mississippi State
Tennessee Volunteers TENN
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST
DeSean Bishop
Running Back Mississippi State
2 Touchdowns 1
Sanfrisco Magee
Wide Receiver Tennessee
DeSean Bishop
Running Back Mississippi State
93 Rushing 63
Kamario Taylor
Quarterback Tennessee
Kamario Taylor
Quarterback Tennessee
241 Passing 121
Joey Aguilar
Quarterback Mississippi State
Anthony Evans III
Wide Receiver Tennessee
4 Receiving 4
Braylon Staley
Wide Receiver Mississippi State
Malick Sylla
Linebacker Tennessee
1 Sacks 0.5
Daevin Hobbs
Defensive Lineman Mississippi State
Brylan Lanier
Safety Tennessee
1 Interceptions 0
Joey Aguilar
Quarterback Mississippi State

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tennessee Volunteers Tennessee Volunteers
3 1 6-4 1L 3-1 0 0-0 0-0 4-0
Mississippi State Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs
4 0 3-7 3L 4-0 0 0-0 0-0 1-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u MSST:Total Net Yards MSST:Net Rushing Yards MSST:Passing Yards TENN:Total Net Yards TENN:Net Rushing Yards TENN:Passing Yards
09/27/2025 MSST 34 - TENN 41 TENN -8.5 Over 63.5 378 203 175 471 136 335
11/09/2024 TENN 33 - MSST 14 MSST +26 Under 61.5 271 179 92 452 240 212
10/12/2019 TENN 20 - MSST 10 TENN +5 Under 53 267 121 146 357 190 167
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/30/2025 ILL 30 - TENN 28 L -5.5 Under 61.5 278 157 121
11/29/2025 TENN 24 - VAN 45 L -2.5 Over 64.5 582 314 268
11/22/2025 FLA 11 - TENN 31 W -3.5 Under 56.5 452 248 204
11/15/2025 TENN 42 - NMSU 9 L -41.5 Under 60.5 340 27 313
11/01/2025 TENN 27 - OKLA 33 L -4 Over 55.5 351 192 159
10/25/2025 UK 34 - TENN 56 W -8.5 Over 52.5 504 108 396
10/18/2025 ALA 37 - TENN 20 L +9.5 Under 61.5 410 142 268
10/11/2025 TENN 34 - ARK 31 L -13.5 Under 69.5 496 240 256
09/27/2025 MSST 34 - TENN 41 W -8.5 Over 63.5 471 136 335
09/20/2025 TENN 56 - UAB 24 L -38.5 Over 69.5 394 23 371
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
01/02/2026 MSST 29 - WAKE 43 L -3 Over 52.5 408 114 294
11/28/2025 MSST 19 - MISS 38 L +7.5 Under 63.5 440 262 178
11/15/2025 MIZZ 49 - MSST 27 L +7 Over 50.5 438 326 112
11/08/2025 MSST 21 - UGA 41 L +7.5 Over 56.5 322 149 173
11/01/2025 ARK 35 - MSST 38 W +4.5 Over 66.5 433 239 194
10/25/2025 MSST 38 - TEX 45 L +6.5 Over 45.5 445 63 382
10/18/2025 FLA 23 - MSST 21 W +10 Under 50.5 452 172 280
10/04/2025 TAM 31 - MSST 9 L +17.5 Under 58.5 479 299 180
09/27/2025 MSST 34 - TENN 41 L +8.5 Over 63.5 378 203 175
09/20/2025 MSST 38 - NIU 10 W -22.5 Under 48.5 452 292 160

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tennessee Volunteers TENN
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST
avg rank edge in rank avg
40.75 7 Points Per Game 51 30.5
28.75 103 Points Allowed Per Game 107 29.17
13.83 1 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game 12 9.17
4.33 30 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 39 4.75
11.25 21 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game 94 5.08
9.25 77 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 59 8
8.58 16 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game 32 7.5
5.75 54 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 48 5.25
6.25 63 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game 27 8.75
8.92 87 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 97 10
84.7 44 Red Zone Efficiency 23 89.1
482.42 4 Total Yards Per Game 58 398.42
13.82 41 Total Yards Per Play 56 13.21
4.59 42 Rushing Yards Per Play 81 3.83
34.92 21 Passing Attempts Per Game 56 30.17
13.26 23 Passing Yards Per Completion 42 12.52
2.17 11 Passing Tds Per Game 20 1.58
23.17 15 Completions Per Game 52 18.92
66.3 32 Completion % 54 62.7
155.95 23 Qb Rating 62 140.98
1.5 32 Defense Sacks Per Game 7 3.25
0.83 9 Defense Interceptions Per Game 11 0.75
0.42 13 Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game 11 0.5
6.33 66 Penalties Per Game 80 7.25
55.58 120 Penalty Yards Per Game 142 61.75
15 13 Takeaway / Giveaway Differential 13 15
4.43 36 Yards Per Punt Return 75 2.55
24.63 24 Yards Per Kickoff Return 151 12.75

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tennessee Volunteers TENN
Season stats rank
Total Yards 482.4 4
Passing Yards 307.17 5
Rushing Yards 175.25 50
Points Scored 40.75 39
Field Goal % 0.78 107
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST
Season stats rank
Total Yards 398.4 58
Passing Yards 236.75 59
Rushing Yards 161.67 65
Points Scored 30.5 215
Field Goal % 0.81 91
defence
Tennessee Volunteers TENN
Season stats rank
Total Yards 482.4 4
Passing Yards 307.17 5
Rushing Yards 175.25 50
Points Scored 40.75 39
Field Goal % 0.78 107
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST
Season stats rank
Total Yards 398.4 58
Passing Yards 236.75 59
Rushing Yards 161.67 65
Points Scored 30.5 215
Field Goal % 0.81 91

Injuries

Tennessee Volunteers TENN
Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST

Betting News + Tweets

Tennessee Volunteers TENN

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Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST

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Tennessee Vs Mississippi State Betting Trends

Tennessee Volunteers TENN

Volunteers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Over is 8-0 in Volunteers last 8 games overall.

Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Mississippi State Bulldogs MSST

Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games overall.

Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Under is 7-1-1 in Bulldogs last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Line Up - Last Game

Tennessee Volunteers
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TENN
  • -7.5 +7.5
  • MSST
NCAAF Odds