Virginia Tech vs. Duke Bracket Prediction: March Madness Sweet 16 Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Mar 27, 2019

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We know at least one ACC team will make the NCAA Tournament’s Elite Eight because two from that conference face off in the Sweet 16 on Friday night with No. 4 Virginia Tech and No. 1 Duke.

March 29, 2019, 9:39 PM ET
Capital One Arena
Pointspread +7 -110
Moneyline +275
Over / Under o +143


Betting Action


Pointspread -7 -110
Moneyline -355
Over / Under u +143


Betting Action


The winner of this game will face either No. 3 LSU or No. 2 Michigan State on Sunday. Duke would be favoured against either and Virginia Tech likely an underdog vs. the Tigers or Spartans. The East Region has gone completely chalk with the top four seeds remaining. The West Region also has gone chalk. The East and West Region champions meet in the Final Four. Two of the best Canadian players in college basketball will be featured.

Virginia Tech (4) vs. Duke (1) NCAA Tournament Point Spread and Betting

It’s been a very chalk tournament overall. In fact, the betting favorites were 16-0 straight up in the Round of 32, the first time ever no favourite lost a game in the Round of 32 since the NCAA Tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985.

This will be just the third Sweet 16 matchup ever between ACC schools. It’s the second straight year for Duke, which beat Syracuse in 2018 in this round. This is also obviously a rematch from the regular season. The Blue Devils and Hokies played in Blacksburg on Feb. 26 when Duke was ranked No. 3 and Virginia Tech No. 20. The home team pulled off the 77-72 upset behind 23 points and 10 rebounds from Kerry Blackshear. R.J. Barrett led Duke with 21 points. Hard to make too much of that game because Duke was without an injured Zion Williamson, and Virginia Tech was without excellent point guard Justin Robinson. Both are healthy now.

Virginia Tech is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Virginia Tech is in the Sweet 16 for the first time since the field expanded to 64 teams; it had lost in the first round the past two years. The Hokies haven’t been too tested yet, beating No. 13 Saint Louis by 14 in Round 1 and then No. 12 Liberty 67-58 in Round 2 on Sunday. Blackshear had 19 points and nine rebounds, and Robinson 13 points and four assists vs. Liberty. Ty Outlaw had 10 points and 11 rebounds, the first double-double by a Tech player in the NCAA Tournament since 1986.

Toronto native Nickeil Alexander-Walker, the team’s leading scorer this season, was held to six points after scoring 20 in the first round. It was Tech’s 26th win this season, setting a program record. The Hokies are 7-0 ATS in their past seven Friday games.

Duke Blue Devils

By far the best game of this tournament and an instant classic was Duke’s thrilling 77-76 win over No. 9 Central Florida on Sunday. It’s a game that the Blue Devils should have lost. Down 76-73 with 14 seconds left, Williamson made a tough layup in traffic to cut the lead to one point; perhaps more important, Williamson drew the fifth foul on 7-foot-6 UCF centre Tacko Fall. We say that because without Fall on the floor, Williamson missed his free throw to tie, but Barrett, the freshman from Mississauga, corralled the rebound and scored for a one-point lead. Fall probably grabs that rebound. UCF then had two shots literally roll around the rim on the final possession of the game. It was unbelievable the second one didn’t go in.

Williamson, the lock No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 NBA Draft, was spectacular again with 32 points and 11 rebounds. His 57 points through two NCAA Tournament games ties Kevin Durant for the most by a freshman. Barrett had 16 points, eight rebounds and four assists. Duke is just 1-9 ATS in its past 10 after a win.