Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Prediction, NBA Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Apr 04, 2024

It’s a must-win for the Houston Rockets when they host the Golden State Warriors on Thursday afternoon.

Golden State
April 04, 2024, 8:00 PM ET
Toyota Center
Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -160
Over / Under o +227.5
Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +135
Over / Under u +227.5

The Warriors hold the West’s final play-in spot with a record of 41-34, while Houston’s the lone club that can overtake that spot. A Rockets win on Thursday would get them to two games back of Golden State, with just six games to go in the season afterward. 

Thursday’s also a test to see if the Rockets have any late season magic left. Entering March, Houston had fell out of playoff contention. Or at least so it seemed until they rallied off 11 straight wins. The streak came to an end over the weekend and now Houston’s dropped two straight. Golden State’s on an impressive run of their own, holding a five-game win streak as they enter Houston.

Tip-off at Toyota Center gets going at 8 p.m. EDT with the Warriors a three-point road favourite and the over-under at 227 on the NBA odds.

Warriors vs. Rockets NBA Betting Odds

The Warriors hold a 10-game win streak against Houston with six of those victories coming on the road in Houston. The Warriors have covered in four of their last five outings against the Rockets including two wins this season. Back on October 29, Golden State beat Houston by 11 in a game that featured under 200 total points. Then a month later both teams found their stride offensively but Golden State still came out on top 121-116. 

The over has hit in eight of Houston’s last 10 games which has a lot to do with their own offence throughout March. During their 11-game win streak, Houston broke 125 points five different times. 

Golden State Warriors

As the playoffs near it’s going to have to be Steph Curry carrying this Warriors squad to victories, but it’s a good sign they can still win when Curry has off nights like against Dallas on Tuesday. Curry finished five for 18 from the floor for 13 points, but six different Warriors scored double-digit points and some superb defence led to the 104-100 victory over Dallas.

Over Golden State’s five-game win streak they’ve allowed over 100 points just once. The Warriors are a middle of the pack team when it comes to allowing points, but again as the playoffs near Steve Kerr’s squad may be adapting to a different role — clawing out low-scoring wins. And so far it’s working, but a big test awaits in the Rockets.

Houston Rockets

Jalen Green completely elevated his game last month, averaging nearly 27 points a game last month and leading Houston in scoring in eight consecutive games — all wins too. Green’s ascent came right around when the Rockets lost leading scorer Alperen Sengun to an ankle injury as instead of folding Houston now has a legitimate chance to make the West’s play-in.

A win over Golden State here is a must, and the Rockets have to make sure they’re on their A game offensively. Houston’s powered through over the last month by reaching 130 points on a frequent basis — and while the Warriors have tightened up defensively, everyone knows Steph Curry’s squad can go shot for shot with anyone.

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