The two-time defending champions are the favourites to win the title again this season, but they’re one of the worst game-to-game bets in the NBA right now.
NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Warriors lost in Miami courtesy of a desperation, last-second heave from Dwyane Wade. His miracle 3-pointer put the Heat up 126-125 as time expired and handed the Dubs their third loss in five games.
Backing Golden State has been a costly proposition these days. The Warriors are 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 games and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on the second night of a back-to-back set.
No team in all of the Association has fewer ATS wins this season than Golden State’s 25. Despite the struggle to cover the spread in games, the club is still in first place in the Western Conference with a half game lead over the Denver Nuggets.
Oddsmakers still see the Warriors as shoe-ins to win the West at -357 at Sports Interaction. Their domination on the futures board carries over to the NBA title odds too. SIA lists G-State as the prohibitive favourites to win the championship at -250.
Orlando is fighting for its first playoff appearance since 2012. The Magic are a half game back of the Charlotte Hornets for the last postseason position in the East. The team is coming off an embarrassing loss to the New York Knicks on Tuesday – just two days after Orlando took down the Toronto Raptors.
The Magic are still 6-2 ATS in their last eight contests and 33-28-1 against the number on the campaign.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors will have DeMarcus Cousins back in their starting lineup when they take on the Magic on Thursday night. Boogie sat out on Wednesday for “load management” reasons seeing as it was the first of two games in as many nights.
Cousins has been better than many expected since debuting for the Warriors last month. Coming off an Achilles tear, many hoops fans wondered if Cousins would be a step slower on the floor. That hasn’t been the case. The big man is averaging 14.8 points, 7.9 rebounds and 3.5 assists while playing fewer than 25 minutes per game.
All-Star centre Nikola Vucevic will be tasked with slowing down Boogie on Thursday. Vucevic is Orlando’s most dangerous offensive player as well. The seven-year veteran is averaging 20.6 points and 12 rebounds per game this season – both career-high marks.
The big man will be an unrestricted free agent this summer and he’s expected to receive a large pay increase from $13 million he’s making this season. The question is – will he resign with Orlando and stay in the Magic Kingdom?