Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Prediction, NBA Play-In Tournament Odds
The Western Conference Play-In Tournament delivers a rematch of Sunday as the Golden State Warriors visit the Los Angeles Clippers in a No. 9 vs No. 10 elimination game on Wednesday night at Intuit Dome (10 p.m. ET). The stakes are simple: win and stay alive, lose and the season is over.
These teams just met on the final day of the regular season, with the Clippers securing a 115-110 victory to lock in the No. 9 seed. That result continued a dominant recent trend for Los Angeles, which has now beaten Golden State in all three meetings in 2026. The Warriors haven’t won on the road in this matchup since November 2021, losing nine straight in L.A.
The Clips are 5.5-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, with the total set at 221.5.
Warriors vs. Clippers NBA Betting Odds
One key trend stands out: all four meetings between these teams this season have gone under the total by an average of over 17 points per game. Both teams play at a methodical pace, and in a playoff-style environment, possessions are likely to be even more deliberate. Add in the defensive focus on Stephen Curry, and another lower-scoring game is firmly in play.
Golden State Warriors
Golden State enters as the No. 10 seed with plenty of questions. Stephen Curry is back after missing significant time with a knee injury, but he’s still working his way into full rhythm. He has shot well from deep since returning (over 40 per cent), yet his playmaking numbers remain down and the offence still leans heavily on his shot creation.
The supporting cast is a concern. Jimmy Butler remains sidelined, while Kristaps Porzingis has struggled in April, averaging just 12 points on 38 per cent shooting. The Warriors were also just 15-26 on the road this season, and defensive issues, particularly on the glass and in transition, continue to linger.
Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers have been one of the league’s best turnaround stories. After a 6-21 start, they rallied to finish above .500 and enter the play-in riding strong form. They’ve now won 11 of their last 12 home games against Golden State, and their depth was on full display Sunday, with six players scoring in double figures.
Kawhi Leonard is expected to return after resting in the finale, while the additions of Darius Garland and Bennedict Mathurin have added pace and scoring punch. The Clippers thrive in the half-court, generate frequent trips to the free-throw line and have the defensive personnel to make life difficult for Curry.
NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Warriors vs. Clippers?
It’s always dangerous to bet against Stephen Curry in a win-or-go-home setting. His shot-making alone can keep Golden State competitive, and he’s proven time and time again he can rise to the moment.
That said, the matchup favours the Clippers. They’ve dominated this series recently, are far stronger at home and bring more depth and balance on both ends. Even if Curry gets hot, it’s hard to trust the Warriors to generate enough consistent offence around him. Ultimately, I see the Clippers advancing 108-100 in a low-scoring battle.
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