Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 09, 2022

Can the Boston Celtics take a commanding 3-1 series lead when they host the Golden State Warriors at TD Garden for Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Friday night?

Golden State
53-29
AT
June 10, 2022, 9:00 PM ET
TD Garden
Boston
51-31
Pointspread +4 -120
Moneyline +128
Over / Under o +213.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread -4 +100
Moneyline -154
Over / Under u +213.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

The Golden State Warriors trail the Boston Celtics in the NBA Finals following the Celtics’ 116-100 Game 3 victory on Wednesday.  Can Boston take a commanding 3-1 series lead when they host Golden State for Game 4 on Friday, or will the Warriors tie the series for a second time?

The Celtics are 4-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 214.5.

Warriors vs. Celtics NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The Warriors’ struggles against Boston continued in Game 3 as Golden State has now dropped eight of the last 10 meetings between the teams.  They haven’t been any more successful as a cover option.  Golden State is 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Celtics.  The total has gone Over in four of their last five games.

With Wednesday’s win, Boston improved to 14-6 straight up in their last 20 home games and 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against Western Conference teams.  They’re 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Pacific Division opponents.  The total has gone Under in 12 of the Celtics’ last 16 games against Golden State.

Boston is now a -217 favourite to win the series, while the Warriors are +161 underdogs.  The favoured exact series result is the Celtics winning in six games at +179.  The biggest long shot is Golden State winning in six at +773.

Golden State Warriors

It looks like Golden State avoided any major injury issues with Steph Curry after the superstar was hurt late in the fourth quarter of Game 3.  Curry was hurt when Al Horford rolled into his leg.  It was a similar to a play in the regular season in which Marcus Smart drove into Curry’s legs.  He finished the night with a game-high 31 points and six three-pointers.  Curry was noticeably limping after the game, but head coach Steve Kerr said the injury didn’t force him out of the lineup.

Klay Thompson had his most productive game of the finals, dropping 25 points and five threes.  Canadian Andrew Wiggins added 18 points and seven rebounds.  A big issue for the Warriors in Game 3 was Boston outmuscling them, leading to a 47-31 rebounding advantage for the Celtics.  Golden State was also outscored 52-26 in the paint.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics came out hard immediately in Game 3, scoring 68 points in the first half.  They shot 57 per cent from the field in the first half (27 of 47) and were 8-for-18 from beyond the arc.  Boston also committed just 12 turnovers in the game after committing 19 in Game 2.  Jaylen Brown had 27 points and nine rebounds, while Jayson Tatum had 26 points and nine assists.  With two three-pointers from Brown in the first quarter, he and Tatum became the first pair of Celtics teammates to each make 50 three’s in the same postseason.

Smart added 24 points in Game 3 and was a key component in a defensive effort that held the Warriors to just 11 points in the fourth quarter.  Robert Williams III, who has been dealing with a knee injury, finished with eight points and 10 rebounds and four blocks.  One stat that will make Boston fans happy is the previous 39 times teams have split the first two games of the NBA finals, the team that wins Game 3 has gone on to win the championship 82 per cent of the time.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Warriors vs. Celtics?

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