Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 14, 2024

NBA: Playoffs-Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

After taking both games in Minnesota, the Denver Nuggets have a chance to grab their first lead of the series when they host the Timberwolves in Game 5 on Tuesday.

Minnesota
56-26
AT
May 14, 2024, 10:30 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Denver
57-25
Pointspread +4.5 -115
Moneyline +155
Over / Under o +205.5

0%

Betting Action

45%

Pointspread -4.5 -105
Moneyline -190
Over / Under u +205.5

0%

Betting Action

45%

Denver looked lost through the first two games of this second-round Western Conference playoff series, but they stormed back with two wins on the road. Following the Nuggets’ 115-107 Game 4 victory on Sunday, the series is now knotted at two wins apiece ahead of Tuesday’s Game 5 in Denver.

The Nuggets opened as 4.5-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, with the total set at 206.5.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Odds

The home team losing the first four games isn’t exactly how we thought this series would go, but it shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone that things are tied heading into Game 5. Denver and Minnesota had an incredibly close regular season series, with each team winning a game at home and on the road. If you’re picking the total, it’s worth considering that all four of Minnesota’s wins against Denver this year have played the Under, while all of the Nuggets’ victories have hit the Over.

The series line has flip-flopped once again as Denver is now a -175 favourite to win and Minnesota is a +145 underdog. The favoured exact series result is a Nuggets win in seven games at +180. There’s pretty good value for Anthony Edwards to lead the series in three-pointers made at +120. Edwards currently leads the series with 12 made three’s and he’s shooting 44.1 per cent from beyond the arc in the postseason.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Despite a historic night from Edwards, the T-Wolves couldn’t get it done in Game 4. Edwards set a new franchise postseason record with a game-high 44 points, shooting 16 for 25. Mike Conley Jr. added 15 points, while Karl-Anthony Towns (13 pts, 12 rbs) and Rudy Gobert (11 pts, 14 rbs) each had a double-double. Drafted first overall in 2020, Edwards is averaging 32.1 points per game in the playoffs, but Towns (18.9 ppg) is the only other Minnesota player averaging more than 12 ppg. Bottom line for the Timberwolves is the supporting cast needs to step up in Game 5.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets put points on the board when it counted in Game 4. Nikola Jokic scored 16 of his team-high 35 points in the fourth quarter and Jamal Murray had 12 of his 19 points in the third quarter. Aaron Gordon shot 11-for-12 in the game, finishing with 27 points, seven rebounds and six assists. Gordon was even more impactful on defence while hounding Towns all night. Denver’s depth could be the difference maker in this series as they have four players averaging over 15 ppg, including Jokic (27.6 ppg), Murray (20.7 ppg) and Michael Porter Jr. (18.7 ppg).

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5?

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