Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated May 28, 2024

NBA: Playoffs-Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks

This season’s NBA Finals matchup could get determined on Tuesday night, when the Dallas Mavericks look to complete a sweep of the Minnesota Timberwolves with a win in Game 4 of the NBA West Finals.

Minnesota
56-26
AT
May 28, 2024, 8:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
50-32
Pointspread +2.5 -115
Moneyline +105
Over / Under o +210.5

0%

Betting Action

29%

Pointspread -2.5 -105
Moneyline -130
Over / Under u +210.5

0%

Betting Action

29%

The Mavericks rolled to a decisive 116-107 win in Game 3 on Sunday night and return to American Airlines Center on Tuesday sporting a commanding 3-0 series lead. With their backs to the wall, the Timberwolves must now find a way to snap out of a dismal 2-6 run over their past eight games. However, Minnesota has generated consistent results on the road, where they have suffered consecutive losses just once since New Year’s Day.

The Mavericks return to action as slim 1.5-point favourites on the NBA Game 4 odds and have rocketed to heavy -2500 chalk on the NBA series prices. The Timberwolves have tumbled to +1100 long shots to rebound and win this series and have also sunk to a distant +4000 bet on the NBA championship odds. The total for Tuesday’s contest is listed at 210.5.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Odds

After blowing an early double-digit lead in a 109-108 Game 2 loss, it was the Timberwolves’ turn to play catch-up in Game 3, erasing a double-digit deficit and briefly taking the lead in the fourth quarter before fading down the stretch. The T-Wolves let their chance to get back into the series slip away while scoring just three points over the final five minutes in Sunday’s 116-107 loss, and have now mustered an average of just 21.3 points in the final frame so far in this series.

Slamming the door with stingy defence has become the Mavericks’ trademark in these playoffs. Dallas has limited opponents to 25 or fewer points in the fourth quarter 10 times so far in the postseason, and just 103.9 points per game so far this spring. Surprisingly, the Mavs lag behind the Minnesota defence, which has allowed just 102.1 points per game in playoff action, but surrendered 112.8 points per game over their six recent defeats, fuelling a 6-2 run for the OVER in totals betting.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards returned to more familiar form in Sunday’s Game 3 loss, scoring 26 points on 11-for-24 shooting after struggling to convert from the field in four of the previous five games. That improvement in shooting is welcome, considering Minnesota has lost three of four when Edwards fails to shoot 40 per cent from the floor. Edwards also added nine rebounds and nine assists, giving the Timberwolves the edge in the paint for the first time in this series. However, Edwards took just three shots in the final frame, and has admitted feeling fatigued as this series has progressed.

Karl-Anthony Towns saw his shooting struggles continue in Game 3, going just 5-for-18 for 14 points and has averaged just 15 points on 27.8 per cent shooting in this series. However, Towns also produced under the bucket in Game 3, pulling down 11 rebounds and is a solid -115 bet on the NBA player props to compile OVER 27.5 points+rebounds in Game 4.

Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving found a higher gear in the late stages of Game 3, combining to score 10 points during the late 16-7 run that sealed the victory in Game 3. Both Doncic and Irving contributed 33 points on the night, with Doncic hitting five threes for a second straight game and adding seven boards in the contest.

However, injuries have started to take their toll on this club. Rookie big man Dereck Lively II has been ruled out of Game 4 after suffering a neck injury in a collision with Karl-Anthony Towns. Lively has been a solid contributor off the bench, averaging 11.5 points and 11.3 boards over four games prior to getting hurt on Sunday. However, veteran power forward Maxi Kleber is reportedly close to returning from a shoulder injury that has sidelined him since May 3.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4?

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