Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 13, 2024

NBA: Playoffs-Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks

The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder are getting their first taste of playoff adversity as they trail 2-1 heading into Game 4 against the Dallas Mavericks.

May 13, 2024, 9:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Pointspread +1.5 -115
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +215.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -1.5 -105
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +215.5


Betting Action


Monday’s Game 4 is a chance for Dallas to make it three straight wins over OKC. Game 3 was the closest of the series with the Mavs holding on to a 105-101 win at home. Dallas is now 3-1 at home in the playoffs.

Knee, ankle, and now what looks like back pain isn’t stopping superstar Luka Doncic from willing the Mavericks to win. The hurt Doncic put up 22 points and 15 rebounds in Game 3’s win. And while Doncic and partner in crime Kyrie Irving are pulling their weight, Dallas’ secondary scoring is what’s taking them to the next level. On the flip side the lack of that additional scoring from OKC is hurting the Thunder down the stretch.

Tip-off for Game 4 at American Airlines Center goes at 9:30 p.m. EDT with Dallas a 1.5-point favourite on the point spread and the over-under at 213.5 on the NBA odds.

Thunder vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Odds

Following the win Saturday, Dallas is now -225 to win the series with the most likely outcome being Mavericks in six which is listed at +210. The Mavericks now have the fourth-best odds to win the NBA title at +850.

The winner has covered in all three games this series. The under has now hit in five of OKC’s seven playoff games but the Thunder have now allowed over 100 points in back-to-back outings after holding opponents under that mark for five straight games to start the post-season.

The Thunder are 2-6 against the spread in their last eight road contests, while Dallas is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 at home.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The threes aren’t falling for the Thunder and it’s been one of the key differences in these last two defeats. OKC shot exactly 10 for 30 in both Game 2 and Game 3. Chet Holmgren had another tough outing Saturday, scoring 13 points and going zero for two from deep. Holmgren’s gone over 20 points just once in the post-season and his only double-double in the playoffs came in Game 1 of last round. Dallas has out-rebounded OKC in two straight games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has gone over 30 points in back-to-back games but no other Thunder player has gone over 20 in that span. Isaiah Joe scored 13 off the bench in Game 3 off five of seven shooting from the field, so look for the Thunder to potentially lean on Joe moving forward.

Dallas Mavericks

After averaging under 11 points per game last round, P.J. Washington’s scored 29 and 27 points in back-to-back Mavericks wins and has 12 made threes in those contests. Washington’s 27 in Game 3 led all Mavs scorers. Dallas also got a much-needed bounce back from Kyrie Irving in the win as the Mavs point guard put up 22 points.

The health of Doncic is a legitimate fear at this point though. Doncic is going through visible knee and ankle pain but still was healthy enough to grab 15 rebounds and score 22 points in the Game 3 victory. Dallas also got 12 points out of backup centre Dereck Lively II, who attempted 12 free throws and made eight with some coming via intentional fouling — a strategy OKC paid for.

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