Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game 3 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jul 09, 2021

Devin Booker's big night on Thursday has Phoenix two wins away from their first NBA Championship in franchise history. Things aren't about to get easier, however, as the series shifts to Milwaukee for Game 3 on Sunday.

Phoenix
51-21
AT
July 11, 2021, 8:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee
46-26
Pointspread +4.5 -105
Moneyline +147
Over / Under o +220.5

60%

Betting Action

40%

Pointspread -4.5 -115
Moneyline -177
Over / Under u +220.5

60%

Betting Action

40%

Step one for the Phoenix Suns is complete as they swept the opening two games of the NBA Finals with a 118-108 win in Game 2 in Phoenix on Thursday.  Step two will be to at least get a split in the next two games when the series shifts to Milwaukee for Game 3 on Sunday.

The Bucks are 4-point favourites to win at home on the NBA odds, with a total of 222 for Game 3.

Suns vs. Bucks NBA Playoff Odds

Early betting action is nearly split down the middle, with the Bucks getting a slight majority.  The total is more defined as 75 per cent of bettors are taking the Over.  That number makes sense given the Over has hit in the last six games between these teams.

Phoenix has now won five straight games against the Bucks, dating back to March 2020.  The Suns are 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 games, including 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.  They’ve hit the Over in four of their last five games.  Phoenix has looked comfortable on the road in the postseason, winning six of eight road games.

Milwaukee has a great shot to get back in this series at home, where they’re 15-1 in their last 16 games at Fiserv Forum.  The Bucks have only covered in one of their last five homes games against the Suns and they’re 0-5 ATS in their last five games against Pacific Division teams.  Like Phoenix, Milwaukee has hit the Over in four of their last five games.

Phoenix Suns

After Chris Paul took control in Game 1, it was Devin Booker‘s turn in Game 2.  Booker put up a team-high 31 points on 12-for-25 shooting, while also adding five rebounds and six assists.  The second half is where Booker put the game away, sinking multiple dagger three’s to keep the Bucks at bay.  He finished the night 7-for-12 from beyond the arc.

It wasn’t just Booker knocking down three’s.  Phoenix took advantage of Milwaukee’s defence clamping down on mid-range shots and aggressive paint defence.  The Suns were able to continually find outside shooters and they ended up knocking down a playoff franchise record 20 three’s, including eight in the first quarter alone.  Mikal Bridges went 3-for-6 from 3-point range, finishing with 27 points.  Six different Phoenix players finished the game with multiple triples.

Milwaukee Bucks

Despite still dealing with a knee injury, Giannis Antetokounmpo was once again Milwaukee’s best player in Game 2.  Antetokounmpo poured in a game-high 42 points and 12 rebounds to go along with four assists, three blocks and a steal.  He’s only the fifth player in NBA history to have 10 games with at least 30 points and 10 rebounds in the same postseason.  Antetokounmpo joined even more elite company as well.  His 20 points in the third quarter was the most in a Finals quarter since Michael Jordan dropped 22 points, coincidentally also against Phoenix, in the 1993 Finals.

The Bucks are clearly struggling to find depth.  It’s not new to see Antetokounmpo forced to carry the bulk of the responsibility for Milwaukee, but with a knee injury that is clearly still affecting him, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday need to step up.  Middleton went 2-for-10 and Holiday went 3-for-14 in the first half on Thursday to combine for just 11 points at the break.  They weren’t any better in the second half, finishing the game with a combined 28 points on 37 shots.  That’s simply not good enough against this Phoenix team.

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