Rockets vs. Thunder Game 4 Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Aug 23, 2020

rockets vs thunder

A wild finish in Game 3 on Saturday, led to a 119-107 overtime win for the Oklahoma City Thunder over the Houston Rockets in their NBA Western Conference first round series.

Houston
44-28
AT
August 24, 2020, 4:00 PM ET
The Arena
Pointspread -2.5 -110
Moneyline -148
Over / Under o +224

80%

Betting Action

20%

Pointspread +2.5 -110
Moneyline +123
Over / Under u +224

80%

Betting Action

20%

The Rockets now lead the series 2-1 heading into Game 4 on Monday at 4 p.m. ET.

As has been the case in every game this series, the Rockets will be three point favourites for Game 4. While Russell Westbrook remains out for Houston, could we see the superstar point guard rushed back if the Thunder tie up the series?

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Rockets are 2-6 against the spread in the last 8 meetings between these teams, while the Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after scoring 100 points or more the previous game.

Both teams have been sinking shots this series. The over is 5-2 in the Thunder’s last seven games, but the under is 8-1 in the Rockets’ last nine games playing on one days rest and 7-1 in their last eight after allowing over 100 points the previous game.

Houston Rockets

It is no surprise that Harden couldn’t be contained again, in Game 3. He put up a game-high 38 points, bringing his average to 32 points per game for the series, but he is only shooting 29.7 percent from beyond the arc. Harden started strong, dropping 24 points in the first half, but he was ineffective when it counted, fouling out in overtime.

Jeff Green seems to single handedly be carrying the Rockets bench, scoring 22 points on Saturday, on 8-for-13 shooting. The rest of the bench hasn’t helped much, with Austin Rivers and Ben McLemore shooting a combined 2-for-9.

The key for Game 4 for the Rockets will be distributing the ball better. Harden and Green can’t do it alone. Even with average secondary scoring there is no reason the Rockets can’t blow away the Thunder on Monday.

Oklahoma City Thunder

It was a gritty, hard-fought win in Game 3, but the three-guard system the Thunder have been relying on all season came through for them again on Saturday. Chris Paul, Dennis Schroder and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander combined for 78 of OKC’s 119 points in the game. Schroder had a team-high 29 points while Paul scored six of the Thunder’s 15 overtime points.

It wasn’t a great start for the Thunder in Game 3. They trailed the Rockets by as much as 12 points in the first quarter and didn’t get their first lead of the game until the start of the fourth quarter. From there it was a back-and-forth tug-of-war for the lead before the Thunder dominated the Rockets in overtime, outscoring them 15-3.

The key for Game 4 will be the three-guard system continuing to put up points and rookie Luguentz Dort keeping James Harden in check. Dort has done as good of job as you can expect against The Beard, keeping his shooting to just 29.7 per cent beyond the arc. He won’t stop Harden, but he can slow him down and that could be the difference.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Rockets vs. Thunder?

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