Raptors vs. Nuggets Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Payton Matthews | Updated Apr 29, 2021

The Dinos will be looking for another upset win over Denver, after beating the Nuggets 135-111 earlier this year in Tampa, Fla. Many people, including Kyle Lowry, thought it would be Lowry’s last game for the Raptors with the trade deadline the next day.

Toronto
27-45
AT
April 29, 2021, 9:00 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Denver
47-25
Pointspread +5 -105
Moneyline +160
Over / Under o +218.5

34%

Betting Action

66%

Pointspread -5 -115
Moneyline -190
Over / Under u +218.5

34%

Betting Action

66%

The playoff-hopeful Toronto Raptors start a crucial four-game trip through the Western Conference on Thursday night. They’ll be taking on MVP favourite Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets, who opened as 2.5-point favourites on the NBA odds with a total of 221.5.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

A handful of franchises have never had an NBA MVP Award winner, including the Raptors and the Nuggets. That should change for Denver this summer when the voting is announced as centre Nikola Jokic is the clear favourite to win it. Jokic, may be the best second-round pick (2014) in modern NBA history. He is second in the league in triple-doubles and the entire Denver offence runs through him – yet not often on the low post. Some believe the Serb is the best passing big man in league history.

Denver had a chance to reach the NBA Finals this year before Kitchener native and second-leading scorer Jamal Murray tore his ACL on April 12 at Golden State. Murray had just returned from another injury and really shouldn’t have been in a game that was out of hand with less than a minute left. He was averaging 21.2 points this season. The Nuggets may be able to win a round of two without Murray, but that’s likely it.

Toronto is 7-17 all-time in Denver and they’ve dropped their past three games there. The Dinos did, however, upset the Nuggets 135-111 on March 24 in Tampa, Fla., to snap a nine-game losing streak at the time. Many though that was going to be Kyle Lowry’s last game for the Raptors with the trade deadline the next day. Pascal Siakam led three 20-point scorers with 27. Jokic had 20 points, 10 rebounds and five assists.

The teams have split the past 10 meetings straight up, with the Raptors 2-8 against the spread in those games (but they’ve covered the past two).

Toronto Raptors

Toronto was without Chris Boucher (who will not play here) and Gary Trent Jr. (also out) on Tuesday in the second of a back-to-back on Tuesday night, losing to the high-powered Brooklyn Nets 116-103 in Tampa. The Nets outscored the Raptors by 16 in the fourth quarter. That’s a game Toronto had to win, considering they held Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant to only a combined 26 points. With the win, Brooklyn became the first Eastern Conference team to lock up a playoff spot. Kyle Lowry had 24 points and OG Anunoby 21, but Fred VanVleet was 4-for-17 for 11 points (he doesn’t look healthy) and Pascal Siakam 2-for-16 for 10 points. Toronto shot under 40 per cent combined. The Raptors are 1-9 ATS in their past 10 road games.

Denver Nuggets

This is also the second of a back-to-back for Denver, which won its third in a row Wednesday, 114-112 over visiting New Orleans. Superstar Nikola Jokic blocked Zion Williamson’s dunk attempt to tie from behind with 2.2 seconds remaining and also finished with 32 points, eight assists and seven rebounds. That’s why Jokic will win MVP. Michael Porter Jr., who is blossoming into a star in his own right, had 28 points and eight rebounds. The issue right now with Denver is being really thin in the backcourt with injuries to Jamal Murray, Monte Morris and Will Barton. The Nuggets generally don’t rest players in the second of a back-to-back. They are 1-4 ATS in their past five in the second of a B2B.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Raptors vs. Nuggets?

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