Raptors vs. Cavaliers: Game 4 Prediction, NBA Playoff Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated May 06, 2018

lebron vs raptors

The Toronto Raptors’ otherwise fabulous season will come to an end if they aren’t upset winners at Cleveland on Monday night in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series.

May 07, 2018, 8:30 PM ET
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
Pointspread +5 -115
Moneyline +150
Over / Under o +212.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -5 -105
Moneyline -185
Over / Under u +212.5


Betting Action


Someone has to make history, right? A few teams in both Major League Baseball’s postseason and the Stanley Cup playoffs have rallied from 3-0 deficits to win a series. It has never happened in the NBA playoffs. That’s the daunting hole the Toronto Raptors are facing heading into Game 4 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series in Cleveland on Monday night.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Raptors had been the only team in the NBA not to lose at least three straight games this season but that went by the wayside in the 105-103 Game 3 defeat. It’s also fair to ask if Monday could be the final game as Toronto coach for Dwane Casey – who might win NBA Coach of the Year. Casey has, frankly, been outmaneuvered badly so far by counterpart Ty Lue. Some around the NBA believe Raptors GM Masai Ujiri could dump Casey and promote highly-respected assistant Nick Nurse. He spoke to the Suns and Hornets about their head coaching openings and is credited with Toronto’s improved offence this season.

Because of salary-cap issues, the Raptors are essentially stuck with this current roster barring a trade. They also don’t have a first-round pick in the 2018 NBA Draft. That went to Brooklyn this summer in the DeMarre Carroll salary dump.

On the updated Sports Interaction series line, Cleveland is -1748 with Toronto at +726. The favoured series total games is a sweep at -242. Seven games is the +1100 long shot.

Toronto Raptors

The story line of Game 3 from Toronto’s standpoint, aside from LeBron James’ incredible game-winning shot, was that Casey benched star DeMar DeRozan for the final 14 minutes. DeRozan was just 3-for-12 for a postseason-low eight points as the Cavs made it a point to double-team him whenever possible and dare others to beat them. The plan worked for Casey as Toronto rallied from 16 points down with DeRozan (who was a team-worst minus-23) on the bench before LeBron’s heroics.

DeRozan is a fine player but in one respect he’s a dinosaur (pun intended) in the modern NBA because he doesn’t attempt many three-pointers. He’s 0-for-9 from deep in this series. Another issue the Raptors have? While it’s true their bench could be the NBA’s best, that isn’t as important in the playoffs when starters on the opposition play heavier minutes.

Cleveland Cavaliers

What more is there to say about James? His winner in Game 3 will go down as an all-time moment, a one-handed bank shot at the buzzer. Why wasn’t he double-teamed? Don’t you have to make anyone else on the Cavs beat you? James finished with 38 points, seven assists and six rebounds in Cleveland’s ninth straight playoff win against Toronto.

Kevin Love was terrific for the second straight game with 21 points and 16 rebounds, plus a team-best rating of plus-20. James had won 11 straight closeout games as Game 4 will be until Cleveland lost Game 6 in the first round at Indiana. The Cavs then of course took Game 7 at home. In the 2017 playoffs in this same situation, the Cavs swept out the Raptors with a 109-102 road victory – exactly one year ago Monday.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 4 Prediction